农户对豫谷18新品种的采用行为及影响因素  

Adoption Behavior of Farmer Households to Plant Yugu 18(a New Millet Variety)and its Influencing Factors

作　　者：刘猛[1] 刘斐[1] 夏雪岩[1] 宋世佳[1] 李烁 王慧军[1] 李顺国[1] LIU Meng;LIU Fei;XIA Xueyan;SONG Shijia;LI Shuo;WANG Huijun;Li Shunguo(Institute of Millet Crops,Hebei Academy of Agriculture and Forestry Sciences/National Millet Improvement Center/Hebei Key Laboratory of Minor Cereal Crops,shijiazhuang,Hebei 050035,China)

机构地区：[1]河北省农林科学院谷子研究所/国家谷子改良中心/河北省杂粮重点实验室,河北石家庄050035

出　　处：《贵州农业科学》2018年第3期167-170,共4页Guizhou Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：农业部/财政部项目"国家谷子高粱产业技术体系"(CARS-06-13.5-A33)

摘　　要：豫谷18新品种是国家谷子糜子产业技术体系"十二五"重大科研成果之一,其同时适应华北、西北、东北三大谷子产区,具有优质、稳产、高产及抗逆等突出特性。为加大豫谷18的推广面积同时为相关政府部门制定推广措施提供依据,选择种植豫谷18的小农户为研究对象,通过实地问卷调查,采用二元Logistic回归模型分析谷子新品种采用意愿的影响因素。结果表明:农户受教育程度、谷子产量、病害程度、口感、用工数量、满意度、是否使用机械、是否有政府补贴等因素对采用意愿的影响程度达5%的显著性水平;谷子面积占耕地面积比例对采用意愿的影响程度达1%显著性水平。要加快谷子新品种的推广,建议加大政策支持、宣传培训、科研育种水平及生产机械研发等方面的力度。Yugu 18,a new millet variety with the advantages of high quality,stable yield,strong stress resistance and wide adaptability,it is adapt to North china,Northwest and Northeast china′s three major millet producing area,which is one of significant scientific research achievements in the technological system of millet industry during“the 12 th Five-Year Plan”period.The adoption willingness of farmer households to plant Yugu 18 and its influencing factors were analyzed by on-the-spotquestionnaire survey and dual Logistic regression model to increase extension area of Yugu 18 and to provide the basis for formulating the corresponding extension measures by the relative government sectors.Results:The education level of farmer households,millet yield,disease degree and taste of Yugu 18,labour cost,satisfaction,machine utilization degree and government subsidy are related to the adoption willingness significantly and the proportion of millet area in cultivated land area is related to the adoption willingness very significantly.The countermeasures to increase the force of policy support,propagation and training,improve scientific research breeding level and development its manufacturing machine are proposed to speed up popularization of new millet varieties.

关 键 词：豫谷18 行为 影响因素 LOGISTIC模型 

分 类 号：S-9[农业科学]