基于动态仿真的航运服务业对港口的影响  

Dynamic Simulation of Impact of Shipping Services on Port

作　　者：傅海威[1] FU Haiwei(International Port and Logistics Research Center,Ningbo University of Technology,Ningbo 315211,China)

机构地区：[1]宁波工程学院国际港口与物流研究中心,浙江宁波315211

出　　处：《中国航海》2018年第1期117-121,134,共6页Navigation of China

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(41501142;41771139;41671132);浙江省自然科学基金(LY15D010003);江苏省博士后基金(1402116C);宁波市哲学社会科学学科带头人培育项目(G15XK10);2013年宁波市与中国社科院共建研究中心课题(201310)

摘　　要：为梳理航运服务业与港口间的内在联系,揭示航运服务业对港口的影响程度,从物流、金融、科技和法律等4方面阐述航运服务业与港口间的动态关系。在此基础上,构建航运服务业对港口影响的系统动力学模型。通过宁波港口的实际案例验证模型的有效性,并通过动态仿真揭示航运服务业对港口货物吞吐量的影响程度。结果显示:物流对港口货物吞吐量的影响最强,金融的影响次之,科技与法律的影响较弱。The rapid growth of port throughput leads to gathering of shipping services in,for example,logistics,finance,technology and law in port areas.The development of shipping services plays an important role in transformation and upgrading of a port.Due to the diversity of shipping services,how to identify their impact on port development deserves studying.The functions of logistics,finance,technology,and law services in this regard are focused on and a system dynamics model reflecting the effects of shipping services on port.Simulations are performed based on the data from Ningbo port to verify the model.Dynamic simulations show that logistics has the strongest impact on port throughput,finance next,and the technology and law services the least.

关 键 词：航运服务业 港口 系统动力学 仿真 

分 类 号：U691[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]