我国能源生产总量组合预测研究  

Combination Forecasting Research of the Total Energy Production in China Based on IOWGA Operator

作　　者：商玉萍[1] 韦晨珺娃 李超[1] SHANG Yu ping;WEI Chen jun wa;LI Chao(School of Statistics and Applied Mathematics,Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu 233030,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽财经大学统计与应用数学学院,安徽蚌埠233030

出　　处：《牡丹江师范学院学报（自然科学版）》2018年第1期10-13,共4页Journal of Mudanjiang Normal University：Natural Sciences Edition

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目(11CTJ006)

摘　　要：围绕我国2005-2014年的能源生产总量数据,利用最小组合预测模型预测未来三年我国能源生产总量.研究结果表明,组合预测模型的误差小于单项预测,能准确预测未来三年我国能源生产总量的上涨趋势和增长率.Based on the total energy output data of China in the past 2005 2014 years,the minimum combined forecasting model is used to predict the total energy production in the next three years.The results show that the error of the combination forecasting model is less than the single prediction,and it can accurately predict the rising trend and growth rate of China's energy production in the next three years.

关 键 词：能源生产总量 IOWGA算子 组合预测 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]