“一带一路”背景下海湾国家投资环境综合评价  

Evaluation on investment environment of the Gulf Area under "The Belt and Road" vision

作　　者：方尹 陈俊华[1,2] 代欢欢[1] FANG Yin;CHEN Jun-hua;DAI Huan-huan(School of Geographical Sciences,Southwest University,Chongqing 400715,China;Center for Iranian Studies,Southwest University,Chongqing 400715,China)

机构地区：[1]西南大学地理科学学院,重庆400715 [2]西南大学伊朗研究中心,重庆400715

出　　处：《世界地理研究》2018年第2期36-44,94,共10页World Regional Studies

基　　金：国家社科基金西部项目"伊朗核危机的演变趋势与中国能源安全及对策研究"(10XGJ0008);中央高校基本科研重点项目"一带一路"背景下中国伊朗自由贸易区建设研究(XDJK2017B021)

摘　　要：海湾地区作为"一带一路"的交汇点,油气资源丰富,了解此地区综合投资环境成为我国有效推进"一带一路"倡议的重要一环。选取海湾八国2010年~2014年自然、经济、政治、社会及基础设施建设五大因素37个因子,运用熵值法对海湾八国投资环境进行综合测度,在此基础之上,依据五年投资环境综合得分,通过系统聚类分析将海湾八国划分为优先、次优、谨慎投资环境区,并对三类投资区与投资环境相关的条件进行了具体分析,提出了解地区投资环境差异、明确投资优先序列、降低投资风险;加强能源产业及基础设施行业投资、协同改善海湾地区投资环境水平等建议。The Gulf Area,as the joint of the The Belt and Road with rich oil and gas resources,has important significance.This paper selects thirty-seven elements from five general factors of natural,economic,political,social and infrastructural construction form 2010 to 2014 to establish the comprehensive evaluation index system,evaluates the investment environment of the Gulf Area comprehensively by entropy method,classifies the eight Gulf Area countries into preferred,secondary,and risky areas by cluster analysis based on the evaluation result,the results of cluster analysis shows that Iran is preferred area,Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates are secondary areas,risky areas includes Qatar,Kuwait,Iraq,Oman and Bahrain,and analyzes the investment environment of the three kinds of areas in detail.Based on the above,the paper put forward some suggestions:understanding the regional differences of investment environment in the Gulf Area,clearing investment prioritization and strengthen investment risk control.Strengthening investment cooperation in the energy industry and infrastructure industries in coordination with the Gulf Area to make progress.Smoothing the channel for"The Belt and Road".In addition,the investor and host countries are supposed to promote bilateral exchanges or multilateral communication because of social and cultural differences to seek common ground while reserving differences to make common progress.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 海湾地区 投资环境 熵值法 伊朗 沙特阿拉伯 阿联酋 

分 类 号：K902[历史地理—人文地理学]