中国造纸及纸制品业碳排放与经济增长的脱钩关系研究  

Analysis on the decoupling between carbon emissions and economic growth in China pulp and paper industry

作　　者：徐士莹 杨加猛[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京林业大学,南京210037

出　　处：《中华纸业》2018年第5期54-58,共5页China Pulp & Paper Industry

基　　金：教育部人文社科基金项目(12YJC630265);江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划项目(KYCX17_0826)

摘　　要：1引言CO2排放量的持续增加严重威胁着人类的生存环境。随着中国经济的发展,经济增长与资源能源的消耗、CO2排放等方面的矛盾日趋尖锐。2015年中国在巴黎气候变化大会上承诺2030年左右CO2排放达到峰值。从20 09年起中国超越美国成为全球纸和纸板产量最大的国家,2015年产量高达10 7.10×10 6 t,占全球纸和纸板总产量的2 6.3 0%[1]。纸和纸板高产量的背后带来的CO2排放量不容小觑,2015年中国造纸及纸制品业CO2排放量占整个工业CO2排放量的1.38%左右,仅低于六大高能耗行业的CO2排放量[2],2016年该行业被纳入碳排放权交易市场范围。毋庸置疑,加强高耗能行业的节能减排工作,是中国缓解经济增长与环境保护之间的矛盾和应对全球气候变化的有效途径。Energy conservation and emission reduction of China paper industry,a traditionally energy-consuming industr y with high carbon emissions,is of great importance to China's response to climate changes.In this paper,CO_2 emission of China paper industry was calculated based on IPCC carbon emissions coefficient method,and the decoupling relationship between CO_2 emissions and output value was also analyzed accordingly based on the decoupling theory.The results showed that although CO_2 emission was generally on the rise in 2000-2015 when the output value of China paper industry rose sharply from 159.04 billion to 1.40 trillion yuan,the relation between the rise of CO_2 emissions and output value growth was in a weak state of decoupling for most of the time and in a strong state shortly.Taking energy consumption as an intermediate variable,it can be found that the decoupling between CO_2 emissions and the industrial growth was mainly brought about by the decoupling between energy consumption and industrial growth.Accordingly,some relevant suggestions will be provided for energy conservation and emission reduction in China pulp and paper industry by this paper.

关 键 词：中国经济 经济增长 碳排放 纸制品 造纸 CO2排放量 全球气候变化 高耗能行业 

分 类 号：F426.83[经济管理—产业经济] X793[环境科学与工程—环境工程]