后悔理论及其在出行中的应用研究综述  

Review of Regret Theory and Its Application in Travel Behavior

作　　者：王晓玉 王立晓[1] 左志 WANG Xiaoyu;WANG Lixiao;ZUO Zhi(Architecture and Civil Engineering Department of Xinjiang University,Urumqi 830047,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆大学建筑工程学院,乌鲁木齐830047

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报（交通科学与工程版）》2018年第2期231-237,242,共8页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology（Transportation Science & Engineering）

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目资助(51108398)

摘　　要：由于后悔理论关注决策者心理体验且能够很好的捕捉决策者心理偏好,因此迅速成为研究决策行为的新兴理论,并广泛应用于出行行为研究.首先阐述后悔理论的提出及其模型发展历程,然后通过对国内外研究现状进行归纳和梳理,从城际出行方式选择、出行线路选择及应急疏散选择等方面,分析了后悔理论在出行行为研究中的应用,最后提出后悔理论在出行行为研究领域的可能发展趋势及研究方向.As the regret theory is concerned with the psychological experience of decision makers and can capture their psychological preference well,it develops rapidly as an emerging theory and is widely applied in the study of travel behavior.The origin of regret theory and its model development were expounded in detail in this paper.After summarizing and analyzing the current achievements of domestic and foreign researches,the application of regret theory on travel behavior was analyzed from the aspects of intercity travel choice,travel route choice and emergency evacuation selection.Finally,the possible development trend and research direction of regret theory in the field of travel behavior research were put forward,which provides research clues and ideas for further research.

关 键 词：出行行为 后悔理论 随机后悔最小化模型 不确定性 

分 类 号：U491[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]