新时期河南省农村土地流转预测研究  

Prediction of Rural Land Transfer in Henan Province in New Period

作　　者：徐苏容[1] 周振民[2] XU Su-rong;ZHOU Zhen-min(Henan Technical College of Construction,Zhengzhou,Henan 450007;North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power,Zhengzhou,Henan 450011)

机构地区：[1]河南建筑职业技术学院,河南郑州450007 [2]华北水利水电大学,河南郑州450011

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2018年第12期212-215,共4页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(50579020)

摘　　要：基于对河南省农村土地流转调查成果,利用量化分析法,构建了多元线性回归模型,对影响河南省农村土地流转的主要因素进行了分析。将SPPS 16.0软件应用于统计模型和量化分析。对新时期河南省农村土地流转发展趋势进行了预测。最后,结合河南省土地流转现状及存在问题,提出了解决土地流转现存问题的对策。研究结果对新时期内我国农村土地流转具有重要参考价值。The present paper carried out analysis based on Henan rural farmland circulation by using quantitatively analysis method.The multiple linear regression model was set up.The main impactors on rural farmland circulation in Henan Province were analyzed.Secondly,using SPPS 16.0 software,the stochastic model was structured and quantitativly analyzed.The development direction of farmland circulation was forecasted.Finally according to the present condition of farmland circulation in Henan Province,the problems and countermeasures were put forward.It is proved that the present findings would play an important reference value in rural farmland circulation.

关 键 词：农村土地 流转模式 模型构建 趋势预测 对策 

分 类 号：S28[农业科学—农业水土工程]