试析莫迪执政以来的印巴关系与“单边解耦”  

The Modi Administration and the Unilateral Decoupling of India-Pakistan Relations

作　　者：刘红良[1] Liu Hongliang

机构地区：[1]赣南师范大学新加坡研究中心

出　　处：《南亚研究》2018年第2期89-104,158,共17页South Asian Studies

基　　金：本文为中国(昆明)南亚与东南亚研究院一般项目“印美安全合作及其对中国周边安全影响研究”(项目编号:CKYB201609)的研究成果,同时受云南社会科学院、中国(昆明)南亚与东南亚研究院2016年高层次人才科研启动项目“印度应对恐怖主义组织研究”(项目编号:KYQD201603)的资助。

摘　　要：莫迪执政之初对巴基斯坦发出友好信号,使媒体及公众对发展两国关系充满期待,然而印巴关系的发展并不符合公众预期,而是陷入合作与对峙的反复循环,莫迪政府对巴外交的强硬及单向性逐渐暴露。相较于前任,莫迪政府在对巴政策的推行上"单边解耦"的特征较为明显。对这一时期两国关系的考察,既要聚焦于印巴两国国内政策因素,更要与莫迪的整体外交谋划紧密结合。Not long after taking office,the Modi administration sent several friendly signals to Pakistan,raising hope on the part of the media and the public that ties might improve between the two countries.As time passed,however,the development of India-Pakistan relations has failed to live up to these expectations,and instead has been characterized by repeating cycles of cooperation and hostility.This has largely been due to the gradual manifestation of a hardline diplomatic policy of the Modi administration vis-à-vis Pakistan.In comparison with previous administrations,the Modi administration has very clearly adopted an approach of“unilateral decoupling”with respect to Pakistan.In considering relations between the two countries during this period,consideration must be given both to domestic policy factors,but more importantly,the broader context of Modi’s foreign policy strategy.

关 键 词：莫迪 巴基斯坦 外交 单边解耦 

分 类 号：D835.1[政治法律—政治学] D835.3[政治法律—外交学]