长三角城市群旅游产业集聚与旅游经济增长的关系  

Analysis on the Relationship between Tourism Industry Agglomeration and Tourism Economic Growth in Yangtze River Delta Based on Spatial Econometric Model

作　　者：耿长伟 段正梁[1] GENG Changwei;DUAN Zhengliang(Tourism College of Hunan Normal University,Changsha,Hunan 410081,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南师范大学旅游学院,长沙410081

出　　处：《城市学刊》2018年第3期42-51,共10页Journal of Urban Studies

基　　金：国家旅游局万名旅游英才计划研究型英才培养项目(WMYC20171097)

摘　　要：基于空间计量经济学的视角,运用空间相关分析,建立空间计量模型,考察2006-2016年间长三角地区26个城市旅游产业集聚与旅游经济增长之间的空间相关性,并对空间溢出效应进行实证检验。研究表明:空间集聚一直伴随着旅游产业发展过程中,旅游经济增长表现出极其显著的正向空间相关性;资本要素及人力资本对于旅游经济增长的贡献度仅相当于旅游产业集聚对于旅游经济增长贡献度的1/3及1/5;旅游产业集聚、资本存量和人力资本对旅游经济增长具有显著正向城市内和总体空间溢出效应,但旅游产业集聚具有负向城市间空间溢出效应,而人力资本对地理或经济邻近城市的旅游经济增长起到负向空间溢出效应。这表明资本存量驱动的旅游产业集聚是推动长三角城市群旅游经济增长的重要因素。Based on the spatial econometrics perspective the spatial correlation model was established by using spatial correlation analysis to study the spatial correlation between tourism industry agglomeration and tourism economic growth in 26 cities in Yangtze River Delta from 2006 to 2016,and the spatial spillover effect test.The results show that:spatial agglomeration has been accompanied by the development of tourism industry,the tourism economy has shown a significant positive spatial correlation;the contribution of capital factors and human capital to tourism economic growth is only equivalent to the tourism industry agglomeration;The tourism industry agglomeration,capital stock and human capital are of significant positive effect on the tourism economy and the overall spatial spillover effect,but the tourism industry is of a negative city space spillover effect,and human capital on the geographical or economic neighboring cities of tourism economic growth has played a negative spillover effect.This shows that capital stock driven tourism industry agglomeration is to promote the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration tourism economic growth an important factor.

关 键 词：旅游产业集聚 旅游经济增长 ESDA 空间计量模型 

分 类 号：F59[经济管理—旅游管理]