效用估计对公众二孩生育管理的促进研究  

The Fertility Management on the Effect of Utility Estimating for Second Child under Universal two-child Policy

作　　者：罗维[1] 吕叻加[1] 刘欣[2] 刘朋[1] LUO Wei;LV Le-jia;LIU Xin;LIU Peng(Department of Student Affairs,Xi’an University of Science and Technology,710054,China;Department of Student Affairs,Northwestern Polytechnical University,710072,China)

机构地区：[1]西安科技大学学工部,陕西西安710054 [2]西北工业大学学工部,陕西西安710072

出　　处：《技术与创新管理》2018年第4期486-490,共5页Technology and Innovation Management

基　　金：陕西省社科界2016年度重大理论与现实问题研究项目"生育政策调整中的公众心理阻碍因素研究"(2016Z067)

摘　　要：调查我国全面两孩政策落实后,生育效用估计对于社会公众生育意愿的积极促进作用。文中通过设计"二孩生育效用问卷"对社会公众的生育意愿及对生育效用进行调查,并选取高生育意愿群体的调查数据通过主成分因子分析法、方差分析、回归分析等进行统计分析。明确表示愿意生育二孩的公众占比33.15%;主成分分析发现二孩生育的估计主要包括经济、保险、享乐、繁衍、社会效用;影响公众生育意愿的回归因素为繁衍效用、理想孩子的数量、享乐效用、性别、已生育情况、经济效用。全面二孩政策刺激了公众生育意愿,公众注重享乐效用和保险效用;二孩生育存在明显的性别偏好,男性生育意愿高;不同生活环境公众生育目的不同,社会责任感可以增强生育意愿。在此基础上从管理学和社会学的角度提出有效提高公众二孩生育的意见和建议。To investigate the positive effect of estimation of reproductive function on the fertility desire of the public after the implementation of the two-child policy in China.This paper designed the“two-child birth questionnaire”to investigate the public’s desire for fertility and its effects on fertility,and selected the survey data of high fertility groups to conduct statistical analysis through principal component analysis,variance analysis,and regression analysis.The proportion of the public who clearly expressed their willingness to give birth to two children was 33.15%.The principal component analysis found that the estimates of second childbirth mainly included economy,insurance,hedonism,reproduction,and social utility;the regression factors affecting the public’s desire for fertility were reproductive effects,the number of ideal children,hedonic utility,gender,birth status,and economic utility.The two-child policy has stimulated the public’s desire for fertility,the public has focused on hedonic utility and insurance effectiveness;The public have obvious preference of gender in the second child birth,and males have higher reproductive desire;The purposes of fertility intention of the public are different,and social responsibility can enhance fertility desire.According to the data collected,this paper offered some effective suggestions about public intention on the second child-birth.

关 键 词：生育效用 社会公众 全面两孩政策 生育意愿 

分 类 号：C924.21[社会学—人口学]