俄欧天然气定价权博弈探析  

Natural Gas Pricing Game between Russia and Europe and Its Implications to China

作　　者：富景筠[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院

出　　处：《欧洲研究》2018年第3期87-102,共16页Chinese Journal of European Studies

摘　　要：作为世界最大的天然气贸易伙伴,俄罗斯与欧洲的天然气定价权博弈及能源权力转移对当前全球天然气地缘政治演变具有关键性影响。页岩气的迅猛发展以及全球液化气贸易的大幅增加,使美国在俄欧传统能源关系中成功打入楔子。通过供给来源多元化下的市场竞争预期,欧洲正在将对俄进口依赖的脆弱状态变为一种天然气需求权力。俄欧天然气贸易争端主要体现为延续油气挂钩,还是采用竞争性枢纽模式的天然气定价机制。这也正是俄欧围绕天然气定价权博弈的集中表现。欧洲如何利用世界能源从卖方市场向买方市场的转型契机、实现能源需求权力的最大化是本文关注的核心问题。考察俄欧天然气定价权博弈及能源权力转移对中国利用天然气进口来源竞争提高谈判议价能力、探求合理可行的天然气定价模式具有重要启示。As the world's largest natural gas trading partners,the game-playing on natural gas pricing between Russia and Europe and the transfer of energy power have a key impact on the shifting global geopolitics of natural gas. The rapid development of shale gas and the substantial increase in global LNG trade have made great contributions to the US'success in the wedge of traditional energy relations between Russia and Europe. By making use of the anticipation of market competition under the diversified supply sources,Europe is transforming the fragile state of its dependence on imports from Russia into a kind of power derived from its natural gas demand. The trade dispute between Russia and Europe lies mainly in the continuation of oil indexation or the competitive gas pricing mechanism. How to make use of the opportunity of world energy transformation from a sellers' market to a buyers' market and maximize the power of energy demand is the focus of this article.

关 键 词：俄欧能源关系 天然气定价权 能源权力 供给来源 多元化 

分 类 号：F224.32[经济管理—国民经济] F416.22