诺思悖论与俄罗斯经济发展困局  

North Paradox and the Dilemma of Russia's Economic Development

作　　者：聂俣诚 Nie Yucheng

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院研究生院

出　　处：《俄罗斯东欧中亚研究》2018年第4期71-90,157,共21页Russian，East European & Central Asian Studies

基　　金：中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所创新工程项目"2020年前欧亚地区战略态势"资助

摘　　要：俄罗斯独立以来经济表现乏善可陈。叶利钦时期各项经济社会指标直线下降,普京时期则仅有数量上的增长,没有质量上的提高。国家的作用是解释俄罗斯经济发展困局的关键。叶利钦时期,国家一方面没有提供基本的秩序,另一方面则在国内竞争约束下产出了低效率的制度安排。普京时期,国家提供了秩序,同时也形成了一套具有掠夺—分利性和非生产性的制度安排。其原因在于,政权通过多种手段克服了国内外竞争约束,国家的目的转向自然资源租金最大化。俄罗斯未来能否实现经济发展,取决于国家能否在经济发展中发挥积极作用,而这则进一步取决于政权在未来所面临的国内外竞争约束。Since the independence of Russia,its economy has not been well performed.During the Yeltsin period,various economic and social indicators plummeted.While in the Putin period,there was only a quantitative increase,but no improvement in quality.The role of the state is the key to explain the economic development of Russia.During the Yeltsin period,the state did not provide the basic order,nor produced efficient institutional arrangements under the constraints of domestic competition.During the Putin period,although the state did provide the order,it formed a set of institutional arrangements with the characteristics of predation-distribution and non-productiveness.The reason lurking behind this phenomenon is that the regime has overcome the competition constraints at home and abroad through various measures and the goal of the state has turned to rent maximization.Russia’s economic development in the future depends upon whether the state can play an active role in economic development and this is further determined by the domestic and international competition constraints that the regime faces in the future.

关 键 词：诺思悖论 俄罗斯经济 国家发展 竞争约束 

分 类 号：F151.2[经济管理—世界经济]