不确定型层次分析法在钢闸门评价中的运用  

Research on the steel gate safety assessment based on the UAHP method

作　　者：郝伯瑾[1,2] 刘忠 姚威振[3] HAO Bo-jin;LIU Zhong;YAO Wei-zhen(Yellow River Institute of Hydraulic Research,Zhenzhou 450003,China;Research Center on Levee Safety and Disaster Prevention of Ministry of Water Resources.Zhenzhou 450003,China;North China University of Water Resources and ElectricPower,Zhenzhou 450046,China)

机构地区：[1]黄河水利科学研究院,郑州450003 [2]水利部堤防中心,郑州450003 [3]华北水利水电大学,郑州450046

出　　处：《南水北调与水利科技》2017年第A02期169-172,共4页South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology

基　　金：水利部公益性行业科研专项项目(201501036);中央级公益性科研院所基金项目(HKY-JBYW-2016-16)

摘　　要：依据不确定型层次分析法原理,构造钢闸门评价体系层次及其区间数判断矩阵,结合专家群判、集值统计和重心决策理论求解各层次权重;结合前人相关研究成果、专家经验及现行规程规范之规定,利用概率统计和模糊综合评估理论,建立钢闸门综合评估和因素层评估指标的分级标准和评分机制,使钢闸门安全评估过程更具实操性,评价结果更具实用性。Basing on the UAHP principle,construct steel gate evaluation system and interval number judgment matrix,combine with expert group judgment method,Set-valued statistics and the center of Gravity decision theory,we will get the weight of all the structure of the Steel gate.the next,we will combine with previous research results、expert experience and the current rules and specifications,use statistics and fuzzy evaluation theory,the steel gate structure is divided into different classes,then establish comprehensive evaluation standard and scoring mechanism of steel gate;use the research results,the steel gate safety assessment process has more practical,the results will be more useful.

关 键 词：闸门安全评价 不确定型层次分析法 集值统计理论 区间数判断矩阵 权重 

分 类 号：TV14[水利工程—水力学及河流动力学]