基于AHP-CIM的纺织企业对埃塞俄比亚投资经济风险分析  

An Analysis on a Textile Enterprise's Economic Risks of Investing in Ethiopia Based Through AHP-CIM

作　　者：钟晓玲[1] 郭燕[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京服装学院商学院

出　　处：《纺织导报》2018年第9期24-28,28,共5页China Textile Leader

基　　金：科技创新服务能力建设-科技成果转化-提升计划项目"京津冀协同发展的旧衣物回收及资源利用体系研究"(PXM2016_014216_000022);2017年北京市社会科学基金项目北京市教育委员会社科计划重点项目"北京居民服装绿色消费理念培养及教育途径研究"(SZ20171001209)

摘　　要：文章以国内某纺织企业埃塞俄比亚投资项目为研究对象,以海外投资项目经济风险分析为研究内容,采用AHP-CIM分析模型对该项目投资的经济风险进行实证分析,以期为纺织企业投资埃塞俄比亚提供一定的决策参考。其中,层次分析法(AHP)的权重确定、控制区间和记忆模型(CIM)风险概率计算是基于纺织行业专家访谈所获得的数据,且被访谈专家均有出访埃塞俄比亚的经历。To carry out a research on an investment project of a Chinese textile enterprise in Ethiopia,the paper carries on positive analysis on the economic risks of overseas investment projects under the AHPCIM analytical model,so as to provide certain decision-making reference for textile companies investing in Ethiopia.Thereinto,the weight determination of analytic hierarchy process(AHP),and the calculation of the risk probability of controlled interval and memory model(CIM)are based on the data obtained from the interviews with some experts of the textile industry,and the interviewed experts all have experience of visiting Ethiopia.

关 键 词：AHP-CIM 棉纺项目 埃塞俄比亚 经济风险 评价体系 

分 类 号：F426.81[经济管理—产业经济]