亚太天然气供需格局下的中国天然气安全形势及应对策略  

China's natural gas safety situation and coping strategies under the Asia-Pacific natural gas supply and demand pattern

作　　者：丁克永[1,2] 徐铭辰 吕丹[5] 张明超[1,2] 戴兵[1,2] 于晓荷 李越 DING Keyong;XU Mingchen;LYU Dan;ZHANG Mingchao;DAI Bing;YU Xiaohe;LI Yue(Development and Research Center,China Geological Survey,Beijing 100037,China;National Geological Archives,Beijing 100037,China;China Center for Information Industry Development,Beijing 100048,China;School of International Studies,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China;China University of Geosciences(Beijing),Beijing 100083,China)

机构地区：[1]中国地质调查局发展研究中心,北京100037 [2]全国地质资料馆,北京100037 [3]中国电子信息产业发展研究院(工业经济研究所),北京100048 [4]北京大学国际关系学院,北京100871 [5]中国地质大学(北京),北京100083

出　　处：《中国矿业》2018年第9期7-10,共4页China Mining Magazine

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"中国战略性矿产资源国际话语权研究"资助(编号:14CGJ018);中国地质调查局地质调查项目"地质信息产品体系研发与社会化服务"资助(编号:DD20160353)

摘　　要：随着中国、日本、韩国、印度等亚太地区主要天然气消费国能源结构的不断调整和天然气消费量的持续攀升,亚太地区天然气供需格局日趋紧张。在此背景下,中国天然气安全供给形势不容乐观,主要表现为:天然气进口依赖程度加深,安全供给存在地缘政治风险;进口天然气被动接受定价,贸易环节面临严峻挑战;天然气供给潜力不足,国外资源获取能力尚显不足。为提升中国天然气安全供给能力,中国应深化与周边国家的管道天然气合作,加快LNG进口来源多样化;争取亚太地区天然气定价权,提升天然气贸易主导权;防控天然气消费增长井喷,加快形成天然气调峰储备体系。Along with the continuous adjustment of energy structure and the growth of natural gas consumption in various Asia Pacific countries such as China,Japan,Korea and India,the supply and demand pattern of natural gas in the Asia-Pacific region is becoming more and tenser.In this context,China s natural gas security is facing a threat,the import dependence of natural gas is deepened,and the security supply has geopolitical risks;imported natural gas is passively priced,and the trade links face severe challenges;the potential of natural gas supply is insufficient and the control ability of overseas resources is weak.To improve the supply capacity of natural gas in China,China should deepen the pipeline natural gas cooperation with the surrounding countries and accelerate the diversification of the LNG import sources,strive for the natural gas pricing power in the Asia-Pacific region,enhance the dominant power of natural gas trade,prevent and control natural gas consumption and increase blowout,and accelerate the formation of natural gas peak shaving reserve system.

关 键 词：天然气 地缘政治 能源安全 天然气定价权 

分 类 号：F407.22[经济管理—产业经济]