中国—东盟贸易结构的测度与分析  

An Estimation and Analysis of China-ASEAN Trade Relationship

作　　者：李星[1] 王金波[2] 佟继英[1] LI Xing;WANG Jin-bo;TONG Ji-ying(Tangshan College,Tangshan Hebei 063000,China;Hengshui College,Hengshui Hebei 053000,China)

机构地区：[1]唐山学院,河北唐山063000 [2]衡水学院,河北衡水053000

出　　处：《技术经济与管理研究》2018年第9期18-25,共8页Journal of Technical Economics & Management

基　　金：2017年河北省社会科学基金项目(HB17GL085)

摘　　要：文章选取WITS数据库2002-2015年的贸易数据,从贸易总额、市场结构、产品结构分析中国—东盟贸易发展状况,并测算出口相似度指数、贸易结合度指数、格鲁贝尔-劳埃德产业内贸易指数、布雷哈特边际产业内贸易指数、显示性比较优势指数以及综合贸易互补性指数,从细分商品及分国别两个角度来研究中国—东盟双边贸易发展特征。实证结果表明,中国及东盟在世界及主要细分市场出口相似度较高、双边贸易结合度逐年增加,竞争性明显;中国—东盟双边贸易更多呈现产业间特征,两地优势产业类目没有重叠,具体国家和中国的贸易竞争情况不尽相同,总体来看互补性大于竞争性。Based on 1992-2015 trade data fromWITS Database,export Similarity Index,Trade Intensity Index,Grubel-Lloyd Intra-Industry Index,Bruelhart Marginal Intra-Industry Trade Index,Revealed Comparative Advantage Index and Trade Complementarity Index of China and ASEAN trade are calculated to analyze bilateral trade competitiveness and complementarity.The results show Export Similarity Index between China and ASEAN in the world and main market segments is high,and this means that trade competitiveness between them is obvious.Their trade connection is increasingly closer with characteristics of intra-industry trade.The fact that there is no overlap between their advantage products indicates a strong trade complementarity.Trade competition between specific countries and China trade is not the same,and in general,complementarity is greater than competition.

关 键 词：中国东盟 贸易结构 竞争性与互补性 

分 类 号：F752.6[经济管理—国际贸易]