基于耦合模型的长三角区域物流与区域经济协调发展研究  

Study on Coordinative Development Between Regional Logistics and Regional Economy in Yangtze River Delta Based on Coupling Model

作　　者：郭湖斌 齐源 Guo Hubin;Qi Yuan(School of Business Administration,Shanghai Lixin University of Accounting and Finance, Shanghai 201209,China)

机构地区：[1]上海立信会计金融学院工商管理学院,上海201209

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2018年第10期51-58,共8页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

摘　　要：本文在理论分析的基础上构建了区域物流与区域经济协调发展的评价指标体系,运用耦合度模型对长三角地区2001~2016年间区域物流与区域经济发展的耦合协调性进行实证分析。结果显示,两系统之间存在显著的协同关系,区域物流系统有序度函数值每提升1个百分点,就可以推动区域经济系统的有序度函数值提升0.9362个百分点。长三角区域物流与区域经济系统之间的耦合协调水平不断提升,经历了由不协调到协调发展的状态转换,目前长三角区域物流业与区域经济处于耦合协调发展的中级阶段。但区域物流系统的有序度明显低于区域经济系统的有序度,区域物流业发展不能有效推动区域经济发展,对区域经济发展存在着一定的制约作用。Based on theoretical analysis,using the complex system and coupling degree model,this paper establishes the evaluation indexes of the coupling synergetic development of regional logistics and regional economy and studies the coupling coordination of the two systems with the data from 2001 to 2016 in Yangtze River Delta.The results show that there is a significant correlation between the two systems.The order degree function value of regional logistics increasing by 1%can increase the order degree function value of the regional economy by 0.9362%.The coupling coordination level between regional logistics and regional economy in the Yangtze River Delta has been continuously improved,and experiences a transition from uncoordinated to coordinated development.At present,the synergetic development of regional logistics and regional economy in the Yangtze River Delta are in the intermediate stage.But the order degree of regional logistics is obviously lower than the order of regional economy.The development of regional logistics cannot effectively promote the development of regional economy,and there is a certain restriction on the development of regional economy.

关 键 词：区域物流系统 区域经济系统 耦合度模型 协调发展 有序度 长三角 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F061.5