“一带一路”沿线国家基础设施PPP项目成效分析  

Analysis the key factors of success on infrastructure PPP project along the countries of “The Belt and Road”

作　　者：刘浩[1] 陈世金 陈超凡 Liu Hao;Chen Shijin;Chen Chaofan

机构地区：[1]北京师范大学,北京100875 [2]广东金融学院,广东广州510521

出　　处：《国家行政学院学报》2018年第5期57-63,188,189,共9页Journal of China National School of Administration

基　　金：教育部中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(310422110);2014年国家社科基金重点项目"推进我国资本市场的改革;规范和发展研究"(批准号:14AZD035)

摘　　要："一带一路"沿线国家基础设施建设落后,融资存在较大缺口,引入私人资本投资基础设施公私合营(PPP)项目是解决融资缺口的重要手段。本文使用"一带一路"沿线45个国家1996~2015年3466个私营部门参与PPP项目的数据,实证分析影响PPP项目成败的影响因素及决定私营资本参与PPP项目风险承担的主要因素。This paper analysis the main factors affecting the success of the PPP project and what is key factors of the private sector taking the risk of in the PPP project,based on data of 3466 PPP project in 45 countries along“The Belt and Road”from 1996 to 2015.The empirical study found that the institutional quality had important influence to the success of the PPP projects.The higher government’s effectiveness of regulation,policy efficiency and quality of public service,it’s more likely to raise the probability of the success of the PPP project.Macro-economic variables such as higher growth of GDP,population,level of financial market can rise the probability of the success of the PPP project.The characteristics of the PPP project can encourage private sectors more actively involved in high risk of PPP project,such as risk structure,supports of the multilateral international financial institutions,diversified private capital intervention.At the same time it can increase the probability on the success of PPP projects.

关 键 词：一带一路 公私合营 基础设施 风险结构 

分 类 号：F120[经济管理—世界经济]