西成通道旅客快速客运交通方式选择分析  

Analysis of the Choice of Passenger Transport Mode in Chengdu-Xi'an Channel

作　　者：孙晓斐 吕红霞[1,2,3] 李晟东 SUN Xiaofei;LV Hongxia;LI Shengdong(Southwest Jiaotong University,School of Transportation and Logistics,Sichuan Chengdu 610031,China;Southwest Jiaotong University,National Railway Train Diagram Research and Training Center,Sichuan Chengdu 610031,China;Southwest Jiaotong University,National and Local Joint Engineering Laboratory of Comprehensive Intelligent Transportation,Sichuan Chengdu 610031,China)

机构地区：[1]西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,四川成都610031 [2]全国铁路列车运行图编制研发培训中心,四川成都610031 [3]综合交通运输智能化国家地方联合工程实验室,四川成都610031

出　　处：《铁道经济研究》2018年第5期42-47,共6页Railway Economics Research

摘　　要：为研究西成高铁开通给旅客出行方式带来的变化及旅客出行方式选择的影响因素,以西成高铁开通后的旅客交通方式选择为研究对象,构建交通方式选择MNL模型,利用模型得到参数估计值,通过计算不同交通方式的客运分担率,分析变量对旅客出行方式选择的影响程度,并验证模型的有效性,以更好地指导西成通道内客运产品设计。In order to study the changes of passenger travel mode caused by the opening of high speed railway between Chengdu and Xi'an as well as the influence factors of passenger travel mode choice,this article takes Chengdu-Xi'an high speed railway as the object,and builds up traffic mode choice MNL model.By calculating the passenger transport sharing rate of different modes of traffic,the author analyzes the influence on passenger travel mode choice,and verifies the validity of the model to better guide the high speed railway passenger transportation product design.

关 键 词：出行方式选择 MNL模型 高速铁路 客运分担率 西成高铁 

分 类 号：F532.8[经济管理—产业经济]