资源禀赋与经济增长的条件β趋同关系研究——基于新疆和甘肃面板数据的实证分析  

A Study on Conditional β Convergence between Resource Endowment and Economic Growth——An Empirical Analysis Based on Panel Data from Xinjiang and Gansu of China

作　　者：刘建国 王林蔚 LIU Jian-guo;WANG Lin-wei(School of Economics,Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics,Lanzhou 730020;Gansu Business Development Research Center,Lanzhou university of Finanec and Economics,Lanzhou 730020,China)

机构地区：[1]兰州财经大学经济学院,甘肃兰州730020 [2]兰州财经大学甘肃商务发展研究中心,甘肃兰州730020

出　　处：《兰州财经大学学报》2018年第5期22-31,共10页Journal of Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目"新丝绸之路经济带建设中资源丰裕省份‘资源诅咒’及其规避研究"(15XJC840004);2017年度甘肃省高校科研项目(2017A-041);兰州财经大学重点科研项目(lzufe2017B-07);兰州财经大学丝绸之路研究院重点科研项目(JYYZ201705)

摘　　要：以新疆维吾尔自治区和甘肃省为例,针对资源禀赋与经济增长的趋同问题,特别是其条件β趋同关系进行研究。选取2004—2016年新疆维吾尔自治区和甘肃省的面板数据,构建计量经济模型,以人均实际GDP对数值的增量为被解释变量,以前一年的人均实际GDP的对数值作为解释变量,并引入自然资源、物质资本、劳动力投入以及经济开放程度四个控制变量,运用条件β趋同的检验方法,对新疆及甘肃的条件β趋同效应进行分析。研究发现:一是新疆维吾尔自治区和甘肃省的经济发展都存在条件β趋同,且自然资源禀赋与区域经济增长之间存在显著正相关,并不存在"资源诅咒";二是两个省区内,资源禀赋与经济增长有着必然的相关关系,但不同地区的资源禀赋对经济增长的贡献程度不同(如:自然资源对新疆的贡献最大,物质资本对甘肃的贡献最大)。西部省区应充分利用资源禀赋优势,但不过于依赖资源禀赋。在供给侧结构性改革进程中,应重视资源禀赋意义上的要素合理配置,同时不忽略需求侧即消费、投资和进出口的作用,以促进本地区经济在较好的水平上实现趋同并达到其稳态。This paper studies the the conditionalβ-convergence of resource endowment and economic growth by taking Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region and Gansu province as research objects.The panel data of Xinjiang and Gansu from 2004 to 2016 is chosen to construct econometric model.The per capita real GDP on the numerical increment is the dependent variable,the logarithm of per capita real GDP in the previous year is taken as the independent variable,and the four control variables of natural resources,physical capital,labor input and economic openness are introduced.This paper analyzes the conditionalβ-convergence between Xinjiang and Gansu by using conditionalβ-convergence testing method.The results show that:(1)There is a conditionalβconvergence of economic development between Xinjiang and Gansu province,and there is a significant positive correlation between natural resource endowment and regional economic growth without"natural resource curse".(2)The resource endowment is related to the economic growth,but the contribution of the resource endowment to the economic growth is different in the two provinces(For example,the contribution of the natural resource to Xinjiang is more than that to Gansu,the contribution of the material capital to Gansu's economic development is the most prominent).Western provinces in China should make full use of resource endowments advantage,but not too dependent on it.In the structural reform of the supply side,the rational allocation of factors should be paid more attention,at the same time,the demand side,such as consumption,investment,import and export should not be ignored.Only in this way can we promote the economy to achieve convergence at a better level and achieve to the steady state.

关 键 词：资源禀赋 经济增长 条件趋同 自然资源诅咒 面板数据模型 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F224