地磁低点位移以磁暴倍九法作为补充预测的讨论  

Discussion on the Geomagnetic Low-point Displacement Method with the Magnetic Storm Nine Days Multiplication Mehtod as a Supplementary Prediction

作　　者：郭增建[1] 郭安宁[1] 贾源源 段博儒 GUO Zengjian;GUO Anning;JIA Yuanyuan;DUAN Boru(Lanzhou Institute of Seismology,CEA,Lanzhou 730000,Gansu,China)

机构地区：[1]中国地震局兰州地震研究所,甘肃兰州730000

出　　处：《地震工程学报》2018年第5期1131-1132,共2页China Earthquake Engineering Journal

摘　　要：短临地震预测方法中,中国地震科学家提出了地磁低点位移法与磁暴倍九法。这两种方法经过了几十年时间的验证,但其对地震进行准确的预测还是较为困难的,鉴于此,建议以低点位移作为第一预测方案的主方案,而以磁暴倍九法作为补充的第二预测方案,以这两方法相配合来预测强地震发生的时间。以此为思路,以期今后能有更多资料与数据来提高此方法在短临预测方面的准确性。In the short-term earthquake prediction method,the geomagnetic low-point displacement method and the rhythm of multiplied nine days after a magnetic storm are proposed by Chinese earthquake scientists.The two methods have been verified for decades,but it is still difficult to use them to accurately predict the earthquake.In view of this,our suggestion is to use the low-point displacement method as the main prediction scheme,and the rhythm of multiplied nine days after a magnetic storm as the second and supplementary prediction scheme.We combine the two methods together to predict the occurrence time of a strong earthquake.It is hoped that more data can be collected to improve the accuracy of the method in the field of short-term earthquake prediction.

关 键 词：短临地震预测 地磁低点位移 磁暴倍九法 

分 类 号：P315[天文地球—地震学]