长三角金融集聚、城镇化对绿色经济发展的影响——基于状态空间模型及中介效应检验的长期动态分析  

The Influence of Financial Agglomeration and Urbanization on the Development of Green Economy in Yangtze River Delta——Long-Term Dynamic Analysis Based on State Space Model and Intermediate Effect Test

作　　者：张芳[1] 李紧想 王锋[1] Zhang Fang;Li Jinxiang;Wang Feng(School of Management,China University of Mining and Technology,Jiangsu Xuzhou 221116;Bank of Nanjing,Xuzhou Branch,Jiangsu Xuzhou 221000)

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学管理学院,江苏徐州221116 [2]南京银行徐州分行,江苏徐州221000

出　　处：《金融发展研究》2018年第11期46-50,共5页Journal Of Financial Development Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目"多尺度空间视角下城市群的城镇化发展对碳排放的作用机理及其减排路径研究:以长三角为例"(71673270)

摘　　要：本文在测度1995—2016年长三角金融集聚和绿色经济发展(GGDP)的基础上,利用状态空间模型分析了金融集聚、城镇化对GGDP的长期动态影响,探讨了城镇化的中介效应,结果表明:(1)金融集聚能够优化资源配置和推动技术进步,促进绿色经济的发展,且这种正向影响随着时间的变化逐步增强;城镇化对经济增长的促进作用显著大于负向产出,即城镇化进程有助于提升绿色经济的发展;金融集聚能够通过投融资活动对城镇化提供正向支持,促进新型城镇化发展。(2)城镇化是金融集聚促进GGDP的重要中介路径,中介效应占总效应的84.89%。Further improving the quality of economic growth is the direction of deepening economic reform in the New era.On the basis of measuring the financial agglomeration and green economic development(GGDP)of the Yangtze River Delta in 1995-2016 year,the paper analyzes the long-term dynamic influence of the financial agglomeration and urbanization on the GGDP by the state space model and discusses the intermediary effect of urbanization through the test of intermediary effect.The results show that:(1)Financial agglomeration can optimize the allocation of resources and promote technological progress to promote the development of green economy,and this positive effect increases gradually over time,and the contribution of urbanization to economic growth is significantly greater than that of negative output.That is,the process of urbanization helps to promote the development of green economy;Financial agglomeration can provide positive support for urbanization through investment and financing activities,and promote the development of new urbanization.(2)Urbanization is an important intermediary path for financial agglomeration to promote GGDP,and the intermediate effect accounted for 84.89%of the total effect.

关 键 词：金融集聚 城镇化 绿色经济发展 状态空间模型 中介效应检验 

分 类 号：F832.7[经济管理—金融学]