“后卡里莫夫时代”中亚地缘政治新变化——基于乌哈合作的分析视角  

New Changes of Central Asian Geopolitics in the Post-Karimov Era: Based on Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan Cooperation

作　　者：焦一强[1] 陈烨 Jiao Yiqiang;Chen Ye

机构地区：[1]兰州大学中亚研究所

出　　处：《俄罗斯东欧中亚研究》2018年第6期120-133,155,共15页Russian，East European & Central Asian Studies

基　　金：2013年度教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目"俄白哈关税同盟与上海合作组织关系研究"(项目批准号:13YJAGJW002);教育部国际合作与交流司国别与区域研究2016~2017年度指向性课题"在中亚推进‘一带一路’建设:机遇;挑战与对策"(课题批准号:17GBQY059)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：2016年9月2日,在乌兹别克斯坦连续执政27年的卡里莫夫总统因病突然去世,引发国际社会对乌国家走向及中亚地缘政治格局变化的极大关注。随着米尔济约耶夫总统上台执政以及奉行积极有为的中亚政策,中亚出现了诸如地区国家关系不断升温、历史遗留问题趋于解决、地区一体化重启迹象明显等一系列地缘政治新变化。中亚地缘政治新变化很大程度上与地区大国乌哈积极合作的推动作用高度关联。目前,中亚地缘政治发展变化尚处在重塑阶段,未来走势如何仍将面临极大的挑战与不确定性。但是,中亚地缘政治新变化无论是对地区政治稳定与经济合作,还是对中亚地区"一带一路"建设,都已产生了积极而深远的影响。The sudden death of the President Karimov,who is in power in Uzbekistan for27consecutive years caused the international community’s great concern about the development trend of Uzbekistan and the changes in the geopolitical pattern of Central Asia.In the post-Karimov era,with President Milziyoev coming to power and pursuing a proactive Central Asian policy,there have been some new changes in the region,such as the heating up of the state relations in the region,the answered historical problems,and the obvious singn of regional integration.The article believes that the new changes in the geopolitics in Central Asia are largely related to the promotion of the active cooperation of regional powers,Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan.At present,the geopolitical development of Central Asia is still in the stage of reshaping,and the future trend will still face great challenges and uncertainties.Nevertheless,the new geopolitical changes in Central Asia have had a positive and far-reaching impact on regional political stability and economic cooperation.

关 键 词：“后卡里莫夫时代” 中亚 地缘政治 乌兹别克斯坦 哈萨克斯坦 “一带一路” 米尔济约耶夫 

分 类 号：D836.2[政治法律—政治学]