城市化与物流业协同发展的时空演化及驱动因素研究  

The Path and Evolution Mechanism of Synergetic Development of Urbanization and Logistics Industry

作　　者：唐建荣 类延波 TANG Jian-rong;LEI Yan-bo(School of Business, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122,China)

机构地区：[1]江南大学商学院,江苏无锡214122

出　　处：《哈尔滨商业大学学报（社会科学版）》2019年第1期45-56,共12页Journal of Harbin University of Commerce:Social Science Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金"小样本非等距灰色预测模型建模及其应用研究"(71301061);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金"企业家人力资本的结构;影响与激励研究"(2015JDZD11);苏南资本市场研究中心(2017ZSJD020)

摘　　要：利用2006—2016年江苏省城市面板数据,通过基于序参量的复合系统协同度模型对江苏省城市化与物流系统协同发展的时空演化及驱动因素进行研究,构建了城市化及物流发展综合评价体系,从而进行系统有序度及系统协同度测算、空间面板回归等实证研究。结果发现,江苏省各城市2006—2016年间城市化与物流产业协同状况并不稳定,驱动因素的多样化导致城市化与物流产业逐步形成发展"错位带",加剧了协同度的降低。提出了基于政府、行业和企业加强政府引导、增强产业辐射和优化企业串联等措施以改善协同的途径。Studying on the synergetic development of urbanization and logistics industry in Jiangsu Province based on the model of coordination degree of complex system,in order to explore the cooperative development of subsystems in compound system.This paper constructs the comprehensive evaluation system of urbanization and logistics development,and analyzes the external factors which influence the coordination degree through the research of Subsystem order degree and System synergy.The results show that the cooperation between urbanization and logistics industry in Jiangsu Province in 2006-2016 is not stable,and the diversification of driving factors leads to the gradual development of"dislocation belt"in urbanization and logistics industry,which aggravates the decrease of synergy.Therefore,the article proposes to improve the city synergy development by strengthening the Government guidance,strengthening the industrial radiation and optimizing the series of enterprises.

关 键 词：新型城市化 序参量 协同效应 面板回归 

分 类 号：F259.2[经济管理—国民经济] F299.2