中国农村人口结构变动与教育文娱消费研究——基于动态面板GMM模型的实证检验  

Study on Rural Demographic Structure Change and Educational,Cultural and Recreational Consumption in China——An Empirical Test Based on Dynamic Panel GMM Model

作　　者：王亚楠[1] 艾爽佳 WANG Yanan;AI Shuangjia(School of Economics and Management,Changzhou Institute of Technology,Changzhou 213032)

机构地区：[1]常州工学院经济与管理学院,江苏常州213032

出　　处：《常州工学院学报》2018年第5期52-59,共8页Journal of Changzhou Institute of Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(71703010);江苏省高校哲学社会科学研究基金项目(2017SJB1801)

摘　　要：乡风文明建设是实施"乡村振兴战略"的一项重要工作部署。了解农村居民教育文娱消费变化及其影响因素有助于为提升乡风文明的政策制定提供科学参考。利用1994—2016年全国31个省、自治区、直辖市(港澳台除外)的省际面板数据,构建差分GM M模型实证检验了农村人口结构变动对居民教育文娱消费占总消费比重的影响。研究结果表明:农村人口中15—64岁中青年人口比例越高,居民的教育文娱消费比重越大;居住消费价格对教育文娱消费比重具有显著的正向影响,说明农村居民的居住消费支出没有对教育文娱支出造成挤出。The construction of rural civilization is important work for the implementation of the“Village Revitalization Strategy”.Studying the changes in educational,cultural and recreational consumption of rural residents and their influencing factors will help to provide scientific reference for policy-making to enhance rural civilization.By using the panel data of 31 provinces,municipalities and autonomous regions(excluding Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan)from 1994 to 2016,the paper constructs a differential GMM model to empirically test the impact of rural population structure changes on educational,cultural and recreational consumption of rural residents in proportion to total consumption.The results show that the higher the proportion of young and middle-aged people aged 15-64 in rural population,the larger the proportion of educational,cultural and recreational consumption of rural residents.Meanwhile,the residential consumption price has a significant positive impact on the proportion of educational,cultural and recreational consumption,indicating that the rural residents’living expenses do not extrude their expenditures in education,culture and entertainment.

关 键 词：农村人口结构 教育文娱消费 GMM模型 

分 类 号：F323.8[经济管理—产业经济]