Scenario-based modeling and solving research on robust weapon project planning problems  

作　　者：XIA Boyuan ZHAO Qingsong YANG Kewei DOU Yajie YANG Zhiwei 

机构地区：[1]College of Systems Engineering, National University of Defense Technology

出　　处：《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》2019年第1期85-99,共15页系统工程与电子技术（英文版）

基　　金：supported by the National Social Science Foundation of China(15GJ003-278);the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71501182)

摘　　要：Weapon project planning(WPP) plays a critical role in the process of national defense development and establishment of the future national defense force. WPP faces the backgrounds of various uncertainties, intense inter-influence of weapon systems and involves modelling, assessment, and optimization procedures.The contents of this paper are mainly divided into three parts: first,the WPP processes are analyzed, and related elements are formulated to transform the qualitative problem to mathematics form;second, the value evaluation model of WPP solutions is proposed based on two criteria of total capability gap and total capability dispersion; third, two robustness optimization models are constructed based on the absolute robustness criterion and the robustness deviation criterion to support the robustness optimization process under multi-scenario. Finally, a case is studied to examine the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed models and approaches.Weapon project planning(WPP) plays a critical role in the process of national defense development and establishment of the future national defense force. WPP faces the backgrounds of various uncertainties, intense inter-influence of weapon systems and involves modelling, assessment, and optimization procedures.The contents of this paper are mainly divided into three parts: first,the WPP processes are analyzed, and related elements are formulated to transform the qualitative problem to mathematics form;second, the value evaluation model of WPP solutions is proposed based on two criteria of total capability gap and total capability dispersion; third, two robustness optimization models are constructed based on the absolute robustness criterion and the robustness deviation criterion to support the robustness optimization process under multi-scenario. Finally, a case is studied to examine the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed models and approaches.

关 键 词：WEAPON project planning (WPP) uncertainty ROBUSTNESS MULTI-STAGE scenario. 

分 类 号：N[自然科学总论]