生产率进步影响农村人力资本积累吗?——基于微观数据的研究  

Does Productivity Improvement Affect Rural Human Capital Accumulation? A Micro-perspective Study

作　　者：周京奎 王贵东[2] 黄征学[3] ZHOU Jingkui;WANG Guidong;HUANG Zhengxue(Collaborative Innovation Center for China Economy;School of Economics, Nankai University;Guanghua School of Management, Peking University;Institute of Spatial Development & Regional Economy, Academy of Macroeconomic Research)

机构地区：[1]南开大学经济学院,中国特色社会主义经济建设协同创新中心 [2]北京大学光华管理学院 [3]中国宏观经济研究院国土开发与地区经济研究所

出　　处：《经济研究》2019年第1期100-115,共16页Economic Research Journal

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目"京津冀交通;环境及产业协同发展机制创新研究"(15ZDA019);国家社会科学基金重点项目"新型城镇化背景下城市产业承载力提升路径与政策选择研究"(14AZD110);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目"产业转型升级与创新型经济发展"(14JJD790004);南开大学百名青年学科带头人培养计划的资助

摘　　要：本文采用中国家庭收入调查数据(CHIP),在动态一般均衡框架下,从理论和实证上研究了农业生产率提高对农村人力资本积累的影响。研究表明,随着农业生产率提高,农村家庭倾向于进行教育投资,进而提升了家庭人力资本积累;过去各期农业生产率对家庭人力资本积累的提高有显著的促进作用;越早期的农业生产率变动,对家庭人力资本积累的影响越大;农业生产率的收入增长效应是提高家庭人力资本积累水平的重要机制;农业生产率提高对于从事农业生产家庭的人力资本积累提高具有显著的推动作用,但对于从事非农生产家庭来说,农业生产率的人力资本积累效应则不很显著。上述结论意味着,国家惠农政策向农业生产率提高和教育投资领域倾斜,对于促进农村人力资本积累具有重要意义。The level of farmers human capital guarantees and reflects the quality of rural development,which is a major economic problem of sustainable rural development in China.To solve the problem of the lack of farmers human capital accumulation,the central“No.1 Document”for 2004-2018 has put forward a specific arrangement for accelerating the accumulation of farmers human capital from the vocational skills training of rural labor to rural practical personnel training,agricultural production technology and job skills training,and new vocational farmers training.At the central government level,the specific deployment of farmers human capital accumulation has varied over time,which shows that it is difficult to solve the problem of a shortage of human capital accumulation through a single policy tool.As such,what dynamic mechanism is used to promote the accumulation of farmers human capital?In the transformation of land urbanization to population urbanization,what changes occur in the dynamic mechanism?Although the literature has considered the problem of farmers human capital accumulation in many ways,it has rarely examined the impact of agricultural productivity on rural household human capital accumulation based on a unified framework.This paper constructs a dynamic general equilibrium model of agricultural productivity and theoretically analyzes the influence of agricultural productivity on the accumulation of rural household human capital.Based on theoretical research,we empirically study the impact of agricultural productivity on farmers human capital accumulation using data from the China Household Income Survey and analyze its mechanism in depth.Empirical results show that the increase in agricultural productivity is an important way to promote the accumulation of farmers human capital after controlling for the agricultural land endowment and family characteristics variables,thus verifying the theoretical proposition of this paper.We arrive at several main findings.As agricultural productivity increases,rural

关 键 词：动态一般均衡 农业生产率 人力资本积累 

分 类 号：F323.6[经济管理—产业经济]