基于偏最小二乘回归的金融发展、财政政策与城乡收入差距的实证研究  

Empirical Study on Financial Development, Fiscal Policy and Urban-Rural Income Gap Based on Partial Least Squares Regression

作　　者：潘林伟 吴娅玲[2] Pan Linwei;Wu Yaling

机构地区：[1]重庆交通大学经济与管理学院,重庆400074 [2]重庆工商大学会计学院,重庆400069

出　　处：《西南金融》2019年第2期25-32,共8页Southwest Finance

基　　金：2014年国家社科基金项目"基于政府行为边界界定的政府行为与金融市场的契合机制研究"(编号:14XJL004);2018年重庆市教委人文社科项目"‘三期叠加’背景下区域金融发展;经济波动与地方政府宏观调控的实施路径研究"(编号:18SKGH055)

摘　　要：本文运用偏最小二乘(PLS)回归方法分析了金融发展、财政政策和农业农村发展三类共15项因素对我国城乡收入差距的影响。发现我国现有金融发展模式、农村固定资产投资结构、财政收入分权等对缩小城乡收入差距具有阻碍作用,而农业出口、个人所得税占比、财政支出分权和国民经济税赋压力等则有利于缩小城乡收入差距。通过乡村振兴计划推动城乡协调发展过程中,需要进一步完善财政收支和税收政策,注意财政政策和金融政策的协调与配合。This paper analyzes the impact of financial development, fiscal policy and agricultural and rural de. velopment including 15 factors on the income gap between urban and rural areas in China by partial least squares (PLS) regression. It is found that China's existing financial development model, rural fixed asset investment structure and fiscal revenue decentralization have a hindrance to narrowing the urban-rural income gap, while agricultural ex. ports, personal income tax ratio, fiscal expenditure decentralization and national economic tax burden are conducive to narrowing the urban-rural income gap. While applying the rural revitalization plan to promote the coordinated de. velopment of urban and rural areas, it is necessary to further improve fiscal revenue and expenditure and taxation policies, and pay attention to the coordination and cooperation of fiscal and financial policies.

关 键 词：城乡协调发展 城乡收入差距 金融发展 财政政策 财税改革 财政分权 农业产业 财政金融 金融支农 乡村振兴 

分 类 号：F830[经济管理—金融学]