虚拟经济对实体经济的影响——基于VAR模型的实证研究  

The Impact of Virtual Economy on Real Economy——An Empirical Study Based on VAR Model

作　　者：王雪梅[1] WANG Xuemei(Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059,China)

机构地区：[1]成都理工大学,四川成都610059

出　　处：《现代信息科技》2019年第3期60-62,65,共4页Modern Information Technology

摘　　要：在虚拟经济迅速发展的背景下,近年来我国的股票市场发展速度逐渐超过了实体经济的发展速度,甚至与实体经济出现了明显的背离。本文以每月股票成交额代表虚拟经济,以消费者价格指数代表实体经济,通过建立VAR模型,分析发现,我国的虚拟经济与实体经济的发展虽然从长期来看是趋于平衡的,但依旧存在短期的不平稳性。Under the background of rapid development of fictitious economy,in recent years,the speed of development of China’s stock market has gradually exceeded that of real economy,and even deviated from real economy. In this paper,the monthly stock turnover represents the virtual economy,and the consumer price index represents the real economy. Through the establishment of VAR model,we find that although the development of the virtual economy and the real economy in China tends to be balanced in the long term,there is still short-term instability.

关 键 词：实体经济 虚拟经济 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] TP391[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]