欠发达地区新型城镇化资金需求预测——以甘肃省为例  

Forecast of New Urbanization Capital Demand in Underdeveloped Areas——A Case Study of Gansu Province

作　　者：刘淑红[1] LIU Shu-hong(Business college, Lanzhou City University, Lanzhou 730070)

机构地区：[1]兰州城市学院

出　　处：《财务与金融》2019年第1期76-81,共6页Accounting and Finance

基　　金：甘肃省社科规划项目(YB110):甘肃省新型城镇化可持续投融资研究

摘　　要：本文以西部欠发达地区—甘肃省为例,从政府成本角度,考虑到不同规模的城市其基本公共服务水平的差异性,测算了不同规模城市的城市化资金需求。结果显示:甘肃境内大城市、中等城市、小城市人均城市化成本分别为10.321074万元、9.068023万元、7.394118万元,产生差距主要原因在于住房保障成本和公共基础设施建设成本。2019-2030年未来12年甘肃境内大城市、中等城市、小城市城市化资金总需求分别为1551.272亿元、4834.306亿元、6494.866亿元,资金总需求为12880.44428亿元。Taking the less developed area in the west-Gansu Province as an example, considering the difference of the basic public service level of cities of different scales from the perspective of government cost, the average of the relevant data of representative cities of various scales in 2012-2016 is used to measure the difference of the funding needs of large-scale cities. The results show that the per capita urbanization cost of large cities, medium cities and small cities in Gansu is 103.107 million yuan, 9.0680.23 million yuan and 7.3941 million yuan respectively. It is estimated that the total urbanization demand for large cities, medium-sized cities and small cities in Gansu in the next 16 years from 2019 to 2030 will be 155.272 billion yuan, 438.334 billion yuan, and 649.684 billion yuan, respectively. The total capital demand is 12880.44428 billion yuan.

关 键 词：甘肃省 新型城镇化 市民化成本 资金需求 

分 类 号：F299[经济管理—国民经济]