金融服务支持经济增长的作用机制与贡献测度——基于SVAR模型的实证  

The Mechanism and Contribution Measure of Financial Services Supporting Economic Growth:An Empirical Study Based on SVAR Model

作　　者：陈小林[1] CHEN Xiaolin(Lanzhou Branch of PBC,Lanzhou Gansu 730000)

机构地区：[1]中国人民银行兰州中心支行,甘肃兰州730000

出　　处：《西部金融》2019年第2期70-75,共6页West China Finance

摘　　要：本文以甘肃省为例,分析了宏观金融服务对经济增长率的影响路径及贡献,结论表明:资金支持服务的正向冲击在引起本期经济增长率较大幅度下滑后,其后对经济增长率的促进作用逐期明显;资金支持服务对甘肃经济增长率贡献稳定在50%以上;投融资转化服务和资源配置服务对甘肃省经济增长率的影响路径大致相同,对经济增长率的正向促进作用第五期趋于稳定,贡献率分别稳定在15%和25%左右。Taking Gansu Province as an example,this paper analyzes the path and contribution of macro financial services to economic growth rate.The conclusions show that the positive impact of financial support services is causing a significant decline in the current economic growth rate,followed by economic growth.The promotion effect of the rate is obvious gradually,and it stabilizes in the sixth period.The contribution of financial support services to Gansu's economic growth rate is stable at more than 50%.The investment and financing transformation services and resource allocation services have the same impact on the economic growth rate of Gansu Province.The positive impact on the economic growth rate is stable in the fifth period,and the contribution rate is stable at 15% and 25% respectively.

关 键 词：金融服务 经济增长 内需增长模型 

分 类 号：F822.5[经济管理—财政学]