开放经济下天然橡胶国际价格影响成因及其风险对策  

Causes and risk Countermeasures of Natural Rubber International Price under Open economy

作　　者：康永 KANG YONG(Yulin Hanting Chemical Technology & Development Co.,Ltd.,YuLin 718100,China)

机构地区：[1]榆林市瀚霆化工技术开发有限公司,陕西榆林718100

出　　处：《广东橡胶》2019年第3期2-14,共13页Guangdong Rubber

摘　　要：本文的研究思路是根据从现实中来到现实中去的思路,通过对天然橡胶进口贸易在供求定价方面的分析,找出影响天然橡胶贸易价格的影响因素,并对各因素进行分析研究,发现天然橡胶的进口在价格波动中的风险,针对具体问题提出解决方案包括如何更好的发挥自身的优势克服劣势,从而规避风险,争取将存在的问题解决,最起码所提的方案能够使存在问题有所改善。本文主要研究开放经济下的天然橡胶国际价格形成问题,本文从经济学的供求价格理论出发,对天然橡胶国际价格形成过程中的供求进行全面研究,找出影响价格形成的因素,并在此基础上提出我国应对天然橡胶国际价格风险的对策。系统研究天然橡胶国际价格形成的一般性。对天然橡胶国际供给曲线和需求曲线的特点进行长短期分析,并在此基础上分析天然橡胶长短期供求变动对国际价格的影响。同时也通过期货市场、合成橡胶、原油、国际政治、国际经济发展水平、天然橡胶库存、期货市场、自然气候等非供求因素对天然橡胶国际价格的影响进行研究。The research idea of this paper is based on the thinking from reality to reality: to analyze the reality-through the analysis of supply and demand pricing in the import trade of natural rubber, Find out the factors that affect the trade price of natural rubber and analyze the factors. Find out the risks of natural rubber imports in price fluctuations-the solutions to specific problems include how to better take advantage of their strengths and overcome weaknesses, thereby avoiding risks and trying to solve the problems that exist. At the very least, the proposed scheme can improve the existing problems. This paper mainly studies natural rubber international in open economy Based on the theory of price of supply and demand in economics, this paper makes a comprehensive study on the supply and demand of natural rubber in the process of forming international price, and finds out the factors that affect the formation of price. On this basis, the countermeasures to deal with the international price risk of natural rubber in China are put forward. Specific research as follows: a systematic study of natural rubber international price formation of the general (supply and demand pricing). In this paper, the characteristics of international supply curve and demand curve of natural rubber are analyzed in the long and short term, and on this basis, the influence of the change of supply and demand on the international price of natural rubber is analyzed. Also through futures markets, synthetic rubber, crude oil, international politics, international The influence of non-supply and demand factors such as economic development level, natural rubber stock, futures market and natural climate on the international price of natural rubber is studied.

关 键 词：天然橡胶 供求定价 贸易价格 影响因素 风险对策 国际价格 

分 类 号：TQ332[化学工程—橡胶工业]