宁夏沿黄经济区水资源短缺与社会适应能力耦合关系分析  

Analysis of coupling relationship between water shortage and social adaptation in the economic zone along the Yellow River in Ningxia

作　　者：王永良 唐莲[1,2,3] 张静 黄天炎[1] WANG Yongliang;TANG Lian;ZHANG Jing;HUANG Tianyan(Department of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering,Ningxia University,Yinchuan. 750021,China;Ningxia Water - Saving Irrigation and Water Resources Regulation and Control Engineering Technology Research Center,Yinchuan 750021,China;The Ministry of Education Engineering Research Center of Modern Agriculture and Efficient Utilization of Water Resources in Arid Areas,Yinchuan 750021,China)

机构地区：[1]宁夏大学土木与水利工程学院,宁夏银川750021 [2]宁夏节水灌溉与水资源调控工程技术研究中心,宁夏银川750021 [3]旱区现代农业水资源高效利用教育部工程研究中心,宁夏银川750021

出　　处：《水资源与水工程学报》2018年第6期245-249,共5页Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering

基　　金：宁夏自然科学基金项目(NZ17032);宁夏高等学校一流学科(水利工程学科)项目(NXYLXK2017A03);国家自然科学基金项目(51269022)

摘　　要：针对宁夏沿黄经济区4市的水资源利用现状,利用改进熵值法,在分析水资源短缺与社会适应能力评价指标的前提下,建立耦合关系模型,从综合评价值、协调度、耦合协调度3个方面对宁夏沿黄经济区水资源短缺与社会适应能力耦合协调关系进行分析。结果表明:对宁夏沿黄经济区4市水资源短缺的综合评价分析结果,优良排序依次为银川市、石嘴山市、中卫市和吴忠市;社会适应能力综合评价结果由大到小排序为银川市、吴忠市、石嘴山市和中卫市; 2016年宁夏沿黄经济区各市的水资源短缺与社会适应能力协调度基本处于中度失调和优质耦合2个阶段,处于优质耦合的有银川市、石嘴山市和中卫市,仅吴忠市处于中度失调状态; 2016年宁夏沿黄经济区的水资源短缺与社会适应能力耦合协调度基本上处于耦合协调时期和失调衰退时期2个阶段,其中银川市、石嘴山市和中卫市分别处于良好耦合协调时期、中级耦合协调时期和勉强耦合协调时期;仅吴忠市处于极度失调衰退时期。In view of the current situation of water resources utilization in four cities along the Yellow River Economic Zone in Ningxia,the coupling relationship model was set up on the premise of analyzing the two indexes of water shortage and social adaptation ability by the entropy method,and the water resources shortage and social adaptability in the economic zone along the Yellow River in Ningxia were made from three aspects:the comprehensive evaluation value,coordination degree and coupling coordination degree.The relationship of capacity coupling and coordination was analyzed.The results were as follows:the comprehensive evaluation of water resources shortage for four cities along the Yellow River Economic Zone in Ningxia were ranked in order of Yinchuan,Shizuishan,Zhong Wei and Wuzhong.The comprehensive evaluation of social adaptation from large to small were Yinchuan,Wu Zhong,Shizuishan and Zhong Wei.The degree of coordination between water shortage and social adaptation in Ningxia in2016 was basically in two stages:moderate imbalance and high quality coupling.Yinchuan,Shizuishan and Zhong Wei were in high quality coupling,but Wuzhong City was in a moderate state of imbalance;The coupling coordination degree of water shortage and social adaptability in Ningxia Economic Zone in2016 was basically in two stages:coupling coordination and imbalance decline,with Yinchuan,Shizuishan and Zhong Wei were in good coupling and coordination period,intermediate coupling coordination period and reluctant coupling period,respectively,and Wuzhong in a period of extreme misalignment.

关 键 词：水资源短缺 社会适应能力 协调度 耦合协调度 沿黄经济区 宁夏 

分 类 号：TV213.9[水利工程—水文学及水资源]