俄罗斯与印度核能合作的动因、影响及前景  

The Motive,Impact and Prospect of Russia-India Nuclear Energy Cooperation

作　　者：李小军[1] Li Xiaojun

机构地区：[1]广州大学公共管理学院政府管理系

出　　处：《俄罗斯东欧中亚研究》2019年第2期72-95,156,157,共26页Russian，East European & Central Asian Studies

基　　金：2015年度国家哲学社会科学一般项目"全球‘反核能运动’对我国核电开发的影响及其应对策略研究(15BGJ060)"的阶段性成果之一

摘　　要：核能合作是"俄印享有特权的战略伙伴关系"的重要组成部分。核设施部件供给的本土化、核燃料供应和核电站建设是俄印核能合作的重要层面。核能合作既是俄印双边关系内涵不断深入扩展、俄核电出口战略与印核电进口战略利益契合、印美俄大三角关系竞合博弈的结果,也是俄罗斯在印度核能市场具有独特竞争优势的体现。市场化运作是确保俄印核能合作卓有成效和持续发展的不竭动力。俄印核能合作在客观上削弱国际防扩散机制的权威性和有效性,有引发南亚地区核军备竞赛的风险;在主观上有助于推进印度获得NSG成员资格的进程。俄印精心勾勒全方位核能合作的"路线图",核能大国竞逐印度核电市场,俄罗斯"一家独大"地位面临挑战,印度的反核活动能在一定程度上延缓核能合作的进程,但俄印核能合作的总趋势仍不可逆转。Nuclear energy cooperation is an important component of the“privileged strategic partnership between Russia and India”.The localization of nuclear facility,the supply of nuclear fuel and the construction of nuclear power plant are three important aspects of Russia-India nuclear energy cooperation.Nuclear energy cooperation is the result of the continuous deepening of bilateral relations between Russia and India,meets the interests of Russia's nuclear power export strategy and India's nuclear power import strategy,and relates to the competition between India,the United States and Russia.It is also a demonstration of Russia's unique competitive advantage in the Indian nuclear energy market.Marketization is the motivation to ensure the fruitful and sustainable development of Russia-India nuclear energy cooperation.Objectively,the cooperation could weaken the authority and effectiveness of the international non-proliferation mechanism,and trigger the nuclear arms race in South Asia.Subjectively,it is helpful for India to obtain the NSG membership.

关 键 词：俄罗斯 印度 核能合作 核不扩散 

分 类 号：D851.2[政治法律—政治学] D835.1[政治法律—外交学] F416.23[经济管理—产业经济]