商贸流通业发展、区域消费流向与消费结构  

The Development of Commerce Circulation, Regional Consumption Flow Direction and Consumption Structure

作　　者：孙浩[1] SUN Hao(Institute of Statistics and Applied Mathematics Anhui University of Finance and Economics,Bengbu Anhui 233030)

机构地区：[1]安徽财经大学统计与应用数学学院,安徽蚌埠233030

出　　处：《价格月刊》2019年第3期47-53,共7页

基　　金：安徽财经大学研究生科研创新基金项目"我国商贸流通发展对居民消费的冲击性研究"(编号:ACYC2016113)

摘　　要：基于2005年～2016年省际面板数据,采用门限模型与系统GMM探究我国商贸流通发展对省际间消费流向与居民消费结构的影响。结果表明:商贸流通发展能够有效增强各地区对其他地区的消费吸引度;高收入区域会随着商贸流通的发展而加剧本地消费的流失,而低收入区域则会吸引大量外来消费;对于消费结构,商贸流通发展会增加居民在交通通讯以及文教娱乐等方面的支出,居民的消费形式从"生存型"向"享受型"转型,且商贸流通的发展对低收入区域的消费转型具有显着影响。Based on the provincial panel data from 2005 to 2016,this paper uses threshold model and systematical GMM to study the impact of Chinese development of commerce circulation on interprovincial consumption flow direction and resident consumption structure.The results show that:the development of commerce circulation can effectively enhance the consumption attractive degree from each region to other regions;the high income region will suffer from the loss of local consumption with the development of commerce circulation,while the low income region will attract massive external consumption;for the consumption structure,the development of commerce circulation will raise the resident expense on traffic,communication,education and entertainment,the resident consumption transferred from"surviving type"to"enjoying type",and the development of commerce circulation has significant influence on the consumption transferring in low income region.

关 键 词：商贸流通 消费流向 消费结构 门限回归 

分 类 号：F722.9[经济管理—产业经济]