基于破产模型的新增建设用地指标分解方法——以湖北省枣阳市为例  

The quota allocation method of newly-added construction land based on the bankruptcy model:A case study of Zaoyang city, Hubei province

作　　者：左文进 胡勋锋 李登峰 ZUO Wen-jin;HU Xun-feng;LI Deng-feng(School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fujian 350108, China;Zhejiang College, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Jinhua 321013, Zhejiang, China;School of Management, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510006, China)

机构地区：[1]福州大学经济与管理学院,福州350108 [2]上海财经大学浙江学院,金华321013 [3]广州大学工商管理学院,广州510006

出　　处：《自然资源学报》2019年第3期501-509,共9页Journal of Natural Resources

基　　金：浙江省社科规划课题成果(19NDJC396YBM);国家自然科学基金重点项目(71231003)

摘　　要：传统新增建设用地指标分解方法存在测算指标时视角单一和分解指标时行政力量干预严重等问题。基于公平和效率的思想引入破产模型,以湖北枣阳为研究对象,运用6种破产模型解对其新增建设用地指标进行分解,并创造性地运用有向图博弈理论对各种分解结果进行比较分析。研究结果表明:(1)比例法则和Piniles法则符合"公平优先"主张,适用于在经济相对发达的发展阶段和地区应用均衡发展策略;(2)限制均分损失法则和Talmud法则符合"效率优先"主张,适用于在经济相对落后的发展阶段和地区应用非均衡发展策略;(3)限制平等法则和限制均分收益法则适用于有发展条件的贫困地区应用重点扶持的发展策略。新方法不仅有效规避了传统方法存在的问题,还为发展策略选择提供了多种方案。The traditional methods for allocating the quota of newly-added construction land have many deficiencies. For example, the research perspective is single and the administrative force intervened severely. This paper, based on the idea of fairness and efficiency, uses some rules of solution to bankruptcy model to allocate the quota of newly-added construction land in Zaoyang city of Hubei province, and applies digraph game theory to compare various results of the allocation creatively. The basic data of the case analysis come from "The Outline of the General Land Use Planning in Zaoyang city(2006-2020)" and its related research papers. First of all, the total demand for newly-added construction land in the whole city in 2020 is predicted to be 3976.66 hm^2 by using the polynomial model that is based on the data of the construction land during 1996-2005. Secondly, the requirements of 16 subordinate administrative districts were determined by the analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method, and then, a total of 2147.09 hm^2 of newly-added construction land was decomposed among the subordinate districts by six rules of solution to bankruptcy model. Finally, the characteristics of various allocated schemes are analyzed according to the digraph game method. The concept corresponding to fairness and efficiency is balanced development and unbalanced development.Different stages and regions may follow different development ideas in practice of the general land use planning. The research results show that:(1) The proportional rule and the Piniles rule accord with the proposition of "fairness priority", which is applicable to the balanced development strategy in the development stage and region of relatively developed economy;(2) The constrained equal losses rule and the Talmud rule accord with the idea of "efficiency priority", which is applicable to the unbalanced development strategy in the development stage and region of relatively backward economy;(3) The constrained equal awards rule and the constrained egalit

关 键 词：破产模型 有向图博弈 新增建设用地 指标分解 枣阳 

分 类 号：F301.2[经济管理—产业经济]