“一带一路”沿线物流业影响因素的空间计量分析  

Spatial Econometric Analysis of Influencing Factors of Logistics Industry Along “the Belt and Road”

作　　者：杨宏伟[1] 郑洁 程中海[1] Yang Hongwei;Zheng Jie;Cheng Zhonghai(School of Economics and Management, Shihezi University, Shihezi 832000, China)

机构地区：[1]石河子大学经济管理学院,石河子832003

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2019年第5期112-120,共9页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"中国与中亚区域贸易投资便利化推进战略研究"(项目编号:13BGJ024);新疆维吾尔自治区普通高等学校人文社会科学重点研究基地兵团屯垦经济研究中心基金资助项目"丝绸之路经济带建设背景下新疆国际大通道建设研究"(项目编号:XJEDU020214C04)

摘　　要：物流业是国民经济的支柱性产业,是促进"一带一路"倡议推进的重要因素。本文以2007～2017年"一带一路"沿线18个省为研究样本,利用熵权法及空间自相关模型对物流业综合发展水平进行了综合评价,并深入分析了物流行业的综合发展水平的影响因素。研究结果表明:我国东部区域物流业综合发展水平整体上好于西部,"马太效应"显著;区域内物流行业综合评价的空间自相关效应较为显著,然而异质性并不明显;碳约束、经济发展水平、信息化发展水平、交通基础设施等因素对物流行业的发展起到了积极的促进作用。The logistics industry is the pillar industry of the national economy and an important factor in supporting the deve lopmentofthe “OneBelt, OneRoad” strategicplan. Thispapertakes18provincesalong “theBeltandRoad” in2007~2017as the research sample, and uses the entropy weight method and the spatial autocorrelation model to comprehensively evaluate the com prehensive development level of the logistics industry, and deeply analyzes the impact of the comprehensive development level of the logistics industry factor. The research results show that the comprehensive development level of the logistics industry in the eastern region of China is better than the west overall, and the “Matthew effect” is significant;the spatial autocorrelation effect of the comprehensive evaluation of the logistics industry in the region is more significant, but the heterogeneity is not obvious;carbon con straints, factors such as the level of economic development, the level of informatization development, and transportation infrastruc ture have played positive roles in promoting the development of the logistics industry.

关 键 词：物流行业 综合评价 集聚 空间杜宾模型 “一带一路” 熵权法 

分 类 号：F532.1[经济管理—产业经济] F224