“一带一路”沿线国家PPP中的溢出效应检验  

Spillover Effect Test of PPP In Countries Along “the Belt and Road”

作　　者：蔡东方[1] Cai Dongfang(College of International Trade and Economics, University of International Business and Economics,Beijing 100029, China)

机构地区：[1]对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院,北京100029

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2019年第5期127-135,共9页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：北京社会科学基金项目"北京企业对外投资发展与全球公司构建策略研究"(项目编号:16YJB025)

摘　　要：PPP是"一带一路"基础设施建设的重要实现方式,而基础设施的互联互通不仅对沿线国家经济增长具有直接促进作用,也间接具有"溢出效应"。本文根据"一带一路"沿线国家1990～2017年PPP及基础设施数据,对其基础设施的溢出效应进行检验和分析,结果表明,PPP模式下能源基础设施和信息基础设施对TFP均存在显著的溢出效应,进而本文提出今后要发挥私人资本在电信等科技领域的相对比较优势,以PPP形式发挥基础设施溢出效应、促进沿线国家经济发展,同时沿线国家也要推进城镇化建设、完善市场制度环境等,为私人部门参与基础设施建设创造市场条件和制度环境。PPP is an important realization of the infrastructure construction in “the Belt and Road”, and the interconnec tion of infrastructure not only directly promotes the economic growth of countries along the route, but also has “spillover effect” in directly. Based on the PPP and infrastructure data of the countries along “the Belt and Road” from 1990 to 2017, this paper exa mines and analyzes the spillover effects of its infrastructure. The results show that there is a significant spillover effect in the energy infrastructure and information infrastructure under the PPP model. Thereafter, this paper proposes that countries should play the comparative advantage of private capital in the fields of telecommunications and other science and technology in the future, and play the infrastructure spillover effect in the form of PPP, and then promote the economic development of countries along the line. At the same time, countries along the line should also promote urbanization and improve the market system environment, then create mar ket conditions and institutional environment for the private sector to participate in infrastructure construction.

关 键 词：“一带一路” PPP 基础设施 溢出效应 制度环境 外部性效应 

分 类 号：F283[经济管理—国民经济] F224