电子商务发展、空间溢出与经济增长——基于中国地级市的经验证据  

E-commerce Development, Spatial Spillover and Economic Growth——Empirical Evidence Based on Chinese Prefecture-level Cities

作　　者：张俊英[1] 郭凯歌[1] 唐红涛[1] Zhang Junying;Guo Kaige;Tang Hongtao

机构地区：[1]湖南商学院经济与贸易学院

出　　处：《财经科学》2019年第3期105-118,共14页Finance & Economics

基　　金：湖南省软科学重点项目"网络经济下湖南农村电子商务发展模式及对策研究"(2015ZK2013);湖南省自科基金项目"电子商务精准扶贫中介效应:机理;测度及效率"(2017JJ2132);湖南省社科评审委项目"基于空间面板模型的电子商务溢出效应实证研究"(XSP18YBC227);湖南省社会科学基金项目"虚拟商圈动态演化研究--集聚;成长与商业模式创新"(16YBA235)

摘　　要：本文利用2015-2017年全国278个地级市的空间面板数据,构建空间杜宾模型检验了电子商务发展、空间溢出效应与经济增长之间的关系。结果表明:(1)电子商务发展呈现出明显的空间自相关性,具有显著空间集聚特征,同时,电子商务对经济增长存在显著的空间溢出效应,地理距离权重下电子商务的空间溢出效应最强,增加经济发展因素后有所减缓;(2)差异化空间距离下,电子商务对经济增长的直接效应和空间溢出效应均随着空间相关距离的扩大而减弱。差异化地理区位下,中部地区溢出效应最显著,东部地区次之。差异化城市等级下,一线城市和二线城市电子商务发展对经济增长既会产生技术扩散,也存在回波效应。The development of e-commerce promotes capital accumulation, technological innovation and specialization, which has an important impact on economic growth. Based on the spatial panel data of 278 prefecture-level cities of China from 2015 to 2017, the spatial spillover effects between e-commerce spatial spillover and economic growth are tested by using the SDM on the basis of measuring the spatial disequilibrium of electronic commerce. The results are followings:(1) The development of e-commerce presents obvious spatial auto-correlation, has significant spatial agglomeration characteristics, and e-commerce has significant spatial spillover effect on economic growth, the space spillover effect is the strongest under the geographical distance weight, and the economic development factors have slowed down;(2) In terms of spatial distance, the direct and spatial spillover effects of commerce on economic growth both weaken with the increase of spatial correlation distance. As far as geographical location is concerned, the spillover effect is the most significant in the midland, followed in turn by the eastern part of China. As far as urban grade is concerned, the development of e-commerce in first tier cities and second tier cities will bring about technological diffusion and echo effect on economic growth.

关 键 词：电子商务 经济增长 溢出效应 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F[经济管理]