预期寿命对国家总储蓄率的影响探究  

The Impact of Life Expectancy on National Gross Saving Rate

作　　者：魏浩宇 王爵 WEI Hao-yu;WANG Jue(Institute of Economic and Management of China,Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing 10081 , China)

机构地区：[1]中央财经大学中国经济与管理研究院,北京100081

出　　处：《菏泽学院学报》2019年第2期58-62,共5页Journal of Heze University

摘　　要：本文基于生命周期假说,建立了简单的世代交叠模型,得出了国家总储蓄率与国民预期寿命呈正相关,与老年抚养比和上一期出生率呈负相关的结论.在实证部分,使用世界156个国家2010～2016年的面板数据,将人均实际收入增长率、一年期存款利率作为控制变量,运用混合OLS和双向固定效应模型进行验证,实证结果证实了理论模型的结论.Based on the life-cycle hypothesis, this paper develops a simple overlapping generation model and finds that the national saving rates is positively correlated with life expectancy and negatively correlated with old-age dependency ratio and birth rate of last phase. In the empirical part, the growth rate of per capita real income and one-year deposit rate are taken as control variables based on the panel data of 156 countries from 2010 to 2016, and the mixed OLS and two-way fixed effect model are used to verify the conclusion of the theoretical model.

关 键 词：预期寿命 世代交叠模型 固定效应模型 

分 类 号：F830.48[经济管理—金融学]