中国经济伙伴网络中的多重制度联系  

Multiple Institutional Relationship in China's Economic Partnership Network

作　　者：孙忆[1] 孙宇辰 Sun Yi;Sun Yuchen(the School of International Studies at Renmin University of China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学国际关系学院 [2]中国人民大学财政金融学院

出　　处：《世界经济与政治》2019年第4期101-128,159,160,共30页World Economics and Politics

基　　金：中国人民大学2017年度拔尖创新人才培育资助计划成果

摘　　要：中国正逐渐成为国际经济外交舞台上的关键角色。通过与多个对象国签订自由贸易协定、本币互换协议等经济协议,中国正以制度化的方式构建经济伙伴关系网络。在经济伙伴的选择上,伙伴国对华贸易依赖度及其与中国的政治立场相似度是影响中国能否与之构建多重制度联系的核心因素,对华贸易依赖度更高或政治立场与中国更一致的伙伴对象更容易与中国形成多重制度联系。不仅如此,这两大核心因素也影响多重制度联系的构建方式。对于立场相似度高且对华贸易依赖度强的对象国,中国有更大可能先与其签订政治意味较强的经济协议,释放强烈的政治信号并确立该国在中国经济伙伴网络中的结点地位;其他情况下,中国则可能与对象国先签订政治意味稍弱的经济协议,逐步深化合作并为继续签订难度更大的经济协议铺垫基础。模型检验与案例分析的结果均支持了这一结论。这些发现有助于深入理解中国经济伙伴网络的构建逻辑,并为未来针对不同伙伴国有的放矢地制定经济外交政策提供启示。China is gradually becoming a prominent actor on the stage of international economic diplomacy.By signing various economic agreements such as Free Trade Agreements(FTAs)and Currency Swap Agreements(CSAs),China is constructing its own economic partnership network in a pretty institutional way.When it comes to the choice of economic partners,there are two main factors that affect China's decision:one is the trade reliance of the partner country on China,the other is the similarity of political position between China and its counterpart.China tend to to construct multiple institutional relationships with those who have higher reliance on China in trade,as well as those who show similar position toward some political issues with China.Furthermore,these two factors also influence the ways that China choose to construct multiple institutional relationships with different partners.For a partner country that presents higher scores in the two aforementioned dimensions,there is bigger possibility for China to sign an economic agreement that has stronger political meaning as a first step,which can help China release intense political signals and establish partner s position in China's economic partnership network.In other circumstances,China is more likely to first sign economic agreements that has less political meaning with a partner country,and then move to sign more demanding and difficult economic agreements as the cooperation foundation has gradually been laid and consolidated.The econometric model and case analysis have proved the hypotheses.These findings help to explore the construction logic of China's economic partnership network,and provide instructive understanding for the implementation of China's economic diplomacy towards various partner countries.

关 键 词：经济伙伴 多重制度联系 伙伴国类型 中国经济外交 

分 类 号：D815[政治法律—国际关系]