中国农产品出口东盟市场的影响因素研究——基于二元边际的实证研究  

An Analysis on the Influencing Factors of China's Agricultural Export to ASEAN Market:An Empirical Study Based on Binary Margin

作　　者：杨逢珉[1] 文峰[1] 韦灵慧 YANG Fengmin;WEN Feng;WEI Linghui

机构地区：[1]华东理工大学商学院,上海200237

出　　处：《国际商务研究》2019年第3期25-38,共14页International Business Research

摘　　要：随着中国—东盟自由贸易区的建立和发展,中国与东盟的农产品贸易也日益紧密。本文根据联合国商品贸易数据库HS-92版本的六分位农产品数据,结合企业异质性理论发现,中国农产品出口东盟市场的集约边际小于扩展边际,但集约边际的贡献率高于扩展边际的贡献率。实证结果表明:各变量对集约边际和扩展边际的影响程度不同,贸易成本和进口国相对农业生产率对二元边际的影响均为负,进口国的相对GDP、农业经济规模和金融危机对中国农产品出口东盟市场的集约边际具有正向作用,而对扩展边际具有负向作用。With the establishment and development of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area, agricultural trade between China and ASEAN is developing rapidly and is increasingly close. Based on the HS92 six-digit data of China’s agricultural exports to the ASEAN market from 2000 to 2015, and combined with enterprise heterogeneity theory, the research shows the value of intensive margin is less than extensive margin, but the contribution rate of intensive margin is higher than extensive margin. The empirical results show that the influencing degree of each variable on intensive and extensive margin is different. The impact of trade costs and the relative productivity of binary margin are negative, the relative GDP of the importing country, the scale of the agricultural economy and the financial crisis have a positive effect on the intensive margin of China’s agricultural exports to the ASEAN market, but have a negative effect on the extensive margin.

关 键 词：农产品出口 东盟 二元边际 影响因素 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易]