灰色关联分析在煤矿伤亡事故中的应用研究  

Application and Research of Grey Correlation Analysis to Coal Mine Casualty Accident

作　　者：孙文斌[1,2] 薛彦超 邵建立 周斐 SUN Wen-bin;XUE Yan-chao;SHAO Jian-li;ZHOU Fei(Key Laboratory of Ministry of Education for Mine Disaster Prevenlion and Cofitrol, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, China;College of Mining and Safety Engineering, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590,China)

机构地区：[1]山东科技大学矿山灾害预防控制-省部共建国家重点实验室培育基地,山东青岛266590 [2]山东科技大学矿业与安全工程学院,山东青岛266590

出　　处：《煤炭技术》2019年第3期178-181,共4页Coal Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(51404146)

摘　　要：为了进一步加深对近几年煤矿事故的认识,总结灾害规律及特点,有针对性地采取措施,实现安全生产,应用灰色关联度分析法,开展对煤矿伤亡事故的应用研究。基于对2013年～2017年期间我国煤矿伤亡事故统计数据,从事故类型、地理区域、月份、时刻4个方面应用灰色关联度法进行了综合分析,获取灾害发生一般规律。分析表明:煤矿事故中瓦斯事故最为严重;8:00-11:59、20:00-23:59是煤矿事故发生的高峰期;3月、4月及12月是事故多发月份;贵州、黑龙江、湖南是事故高发省份。进一步分析了事故发生的原因,提出了相应的预防措施,对于我国煤矿的安全生产具有重要的指导意义。In order to further deepen the understanding of the coal mine accidents,summarize the laws and characteristics of disasters,and take measures to achieve safety in production,applies the grey correlation analysis method to carry out the application research on coal mine casualty accidents. Based on the statistical data of coal mine casualty accidents in China during the 2013 to 2017 period, applied the grey relational degree method from four aspects: accident type,geographical area, month and time to get the disaster prone area and time. The analysis shows that gas accident is the most serious coal mine accident. 8:00 to 11:59 and 20:00 to 23:59 are the peak periods of coal mine accidents. March, April and December are the most frequent accidents months. Guizhou, Heilongjiang and Hunan are the provinces with high accidents. The causes of the accidents are further analyzed,and the corresponding preventive measures are put forward,which is of great guiding significance for the safety production of coal mines in China.

关 键 词：煤矿事故 灰色关联度分析 灾害规律 预防措施 

分 类 号：TD77[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]