丁二烯储罐泄漏事故定量风险评价  

Quantitative Risk Assessment on Butadiene Tank Leakage Accident

作　　者：张瀚匀 吕建国[1] 高玉格 ZHANG Hanyun;LU jianguo;GAO Yuge(School of Engineering and Technology,China University of Geosciences(Beijing),Beijing 100083,China;Technical Center for Major Hazard Monitoring and Accident Investigation and Identification,China Academy of Safety Science and Technology,Beijing 100012,China)

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学(北京)工程技术学院,北京100083 [2]中国安全生产科学研究院重大危险源监控及事故调查分析鉴定技术中心,高级工程师北京100012

出　　处：《安全》2019年第4期30-33,共4页Safety & Security

摘　　要：为了有效预防丁二烯引发的事故,基于定量风险评价的指标,以某企业丁二烯储罐为工程实例,采用重大危险源区域定量风险评价软件CASST-QRA,模拟丁二烯储罐泄露事故后果影响范围,定量评价其对周边环境所造成的风险大小和可接受程度。结果表明:某企业的丁二烯储罐个人风险和社会风险均可接受,模拟结果可为制订应急救援预案及安全防范措施提供参考;同时,研究成果可以对企业的安全管理和有关行政部门的安全监督提供指导与依据,也为其他丁二烯储罐的管理和运行提供借鉴。The butadiene storage tanks of an enterprise were taken as examples,the quantitative assessment on the potential risk and acceptability for the surrounding environment caused by those leakage accident was obtained based on the simulation of the leakage accident consequences and the hazard area by CASST-QRA method.The results show that both personal and social risks of the example tanks are acceptable,which provides a reference for the formulation of emergency rescue plans and safety precautions.Besides,this research provides guidance and basis for the safety management of enterprises and the safety supervision of relevant administrative departments,and provides reference for the management and operation of other butadiene storage tanks.

关 键 词：丁二烯 事故 CASST-QRA 定量风险评价 

分 类 号：X937[环境科学与工程—安全科学]