人口老龄化对第三产业结构变动影响的实证分析  

An Empirical Study of the Impact of the Aging of Population on the Structure of the Tertiary Industry

作　　者：钱娇 石爱虎[1] QIAN Jiao;SHI Aihu(College of Finance and Economics,Jimei University,Xiamen 361021,China)

机构地区：[1]集美大学财经学院,福建厦门361021

出　　处：《厦门理工学院学报》2019年第2期45-50,共6页Journal of Xiamen University of Technology

摘　　要：利用2005—2016年中国大陆31个省(市、自治区)市数据,建立动态面板模型的研究表明,人口老龄化与第三产业产值和第三产业就业占比存在着正相关性,并促进了第三产业内部结构从传统服务业向现代服务业的转型升级。为有效应对人口老龄化的挑战,推动第三产业结构向更加合理化的方向发展,应大力发展老年产业,健全与老年人相关的养老保障制度,促进中老年人的再教育和再就业。A dynamic panel model was established using data from 31 provinces and cities in China from 2005 to 2016,and the results show that there is a positive correlation between the aging of the population and the output value and employmentof the tertiary industry,which promotes the transformation and upgrading of the internal structure of the tertiary industry from one for the traditional service industry to one for the modern service industry. Therefore,the senior industry should be developed in a sound direction,the social security system for the aged improved and their reeducation and reemployment enhanced to address the challenge of the aging population.

关 键 词：第三产业结构 人口老龄化 动态面板模型 

分 类 号：F719[经济管理—产业经济] C92-05[社会学—人口学]