消费:河北的出路在哪里?  

Hebei: Feasibility and sustainability of consumption-driven economy

作　　者：王亭亭[1,2] 梁亦青 WANG Ting-ting;LIANG Yi-qing

机构地区：[1]河北省社会科学院经济研究所 [2]河北省社会科学院宏观经济与公共政策研究中心

出　　处：《经济论坛》2019年第4期97-101,共5页Economic Forum

基　　金：河北省社会科学院重大课题委托课题(2018ZW02)

摘　　要：后危机时代以来,由于河北省近几年投资受限,出口跌幅大于预期,拉动经济‘三驾马车’中唯有消费对GDP贡献率逐年上升并成为引领经济的关键力量。2018年,河北省消费对经济贡献率达到61.7%,以9.7%的增速比全国平均水平的9.4%高出0.3个百分点,跑赢全省GDP增速3.2个百分点。这一趋势,预示了河北作为消费大省的姿态开始显现,并成为拉动经济增长的新亮点。如何强化这一优势在宏观经济中的引领作用,使其成为稳增长,调结构、促改革、惠民生的重要抓手与动力源,对于河北省持续低迷的经济现状而言,显得尤为紧迫而重要。Since the post-crisis era, the investment has been limited, the drop in export has been beyond expec. tation, and only the consumption in the “Three Engines” fueling economic growth has been providing a year-byyear rise in contribution to GDP and become the key force to lead the economy in Hebei province over the past few years. In 2018, the consumption in Hebei province had an economic contribution rate of 61.7%, and a growth rate of 9.7%-0.3% higher than the national average of 9.4%, and 3.2% higher than the provincial GDP growth rate. This trend heralds the emergence of Hebei’s image as a big consumption-driven province, which has grown to be a new bright point to fuel economic growth. How to intensify the leading role of this advantage in macro-economy, and make it become an important means and driving force to stabilize growth, adjust structure, promote reform and bene. fit livelihood is particularly pressing and significant for the sustained weak economic situation of Hebei province.

关 键 词：消费升级 消费结构 消费驱动 

分 类 号：F126.1[经济管理—世界经济]