冷战后“中国威胁论”的历史演变  

The Historical Evolution of the "China Threat Theory" after the Cold War

作　　者：苏珊珊[1,2] Su Shanshan

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学马克思主义学院 [2]剑桥大学社会学系

出　　处：《社会主义研究》2019年第2期140-147,共8页Socialism Studies

基　　金：2016年度教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目"改革开放与中国特色社会主义实践创新经验研究"(16JJD710012)

摘　　要："中国威胁论"自冷战后愈演愈烈,成为中国发展外部环境的"无形天花板",准确把握其历史演变十分必要。20世纪90年代以来,"中国威胁论"随着中国的崛起与西方的相对衰落而浪潮迭起,演变内容囊括政治、经济、文化等方面,演变特征呈现为制造路径走向多元、覆盖范围持续扩大、波及领域纵深发展、影响程度愈加深重。由此可判断该论调伴随中国崛起全过程,其原因复杂但本质是固守"冷战思维"的西方国家不愿看到社会主义中国强大而抛出的"遏制中国"战略。中国必须把握其本质动机,保持战略定力,总结已有应对经验,构建并提升话语权,塑造新型大国形象。The "China Threat Theory" has become even more intensified since the Cold War and has become the "invisible ceiling" for China’s external development environment, thus, it is necessary to accurately grasp its historical evolution. Since the 1990s, the "China Threat Theory" has been raging as the wave following one after another with the rise of China and the relative decline of the west, its evolution includes political, economic, and cultural in every aspect, the evolutionary characteristics are showed as following: the manufacturing path becomes more diversification, and the covered coverage continuously enlarges, the involved field develops in depth and breadth, and the influence has become more and more serious. In view of the above, it can be judged that the argument is accompanied by the whole process of China’s rise, the reason is complicated but its essence is the strategy of "Containing China" proposed by the Western countries that adhere to the "Cold War mentality" and do not hope to let the socialistic China become more and more powerful. China must grasp its essential motives,maintain strategic focus, summarize existing experience, construct and enhance discourse power, so as to shape a new major country’s image.

关 键 词：“中国威胁论” 历史演变 应对 战略定力 

分 类 号：D820[政治法律—政治学]