国家安全与汇率制度选择:基于大国博弈的视角  

The Choice of Exchange Rate System from the Perspective of National Security:Political Considerations and Playing Games among Powers

作　　者：张家源 李少昆 ZHANG Jiayuan;LI Shaokun(School of finance,University of international business and economics,Beijing 100029,China;Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange,Zhengzhou 450018,China)

机构地区：[1]对外经济贸易大学金融学院,北京100029 [2]郑州商品交易所,郑州450018

出　　处：《探索》2019年第3期182-192,共11页Probe

摘　　要：在人民币汇率改革不断推进的背景下,中美之间在汇率方面暴露出诸多分歧。从经济和政治维度进行探讨,可知新自由主义思潮下的汇率理论是资本主义金融寡头的政治工具。国家安全程度与汇率安排弹性呈现"倒U型"关系,大幅度的汇率弹性变化更容易恶化国家安全。不同国家存在基于自身国情的不同的合理汇率安排。我国的汇率市场化改革应在一定区间内渐进式进行,应在坚持制度自信基础上,选择符合中国国情的汇率制度。Under the background of continuous progress of RMB exchange rate reform,China and the United States have revealed many differences over exchange rates.From the dimension of economic and political,we can find that the exchange rate theory under neo-liberalism is the political tool of capitalist financial oligarchy.There is an inverted U-shaped relationship between the degree of national security and the flexibility of exchange rate arrangement.Large changes in exchange rate flexibility are more likely to worsen national security.Different countries have different appropriate exchange rate arrangements based on their own national conditions.China’s market-oriented reform of exchange rate should be carried out gradually within a certain range,and we should choose the exchange rate arrangement conforming to socialism with Chinese characteristics on the basis of adhering to institutional confidence.

关 键 词：汇率制度弹性 寡头政治 国家安全 大国博弈 

分 类 号：D518[政治法律—政治学] F831.6[政治法律—国际政治]