科技计划经济社会影响评价的回报模型:基本原理、发展动态及启示  

“Payback Model” in Evaluating Societal Impact of Science and Technology Projects: Basic Theory,Dynamic Trend and Its Inspiration to China

作　　者：白波[1] 王艳芳[1] 肖小溪 Bai Bo;Wang Yanfang;Xiao Xiaoxi(Beijing Research Center of Urban System Engineering,Beijing 100089,China;Institutes of Science and Development,ChineseAcademy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China;School of Public Policy and Management,UCAS,Beijing 100049,China)

机构地区：[1]北京城市系统工程研究中心,北京100089 [2]中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院,北京100190 [3]中国科学院大学公共政策与管理学院,北京100049

出　　处：《中国科技论坛》2019年第6期17-23,共7页Forum on Science and Technology in China

基　　金：国家自科基金青年基金项目“‘融合式研究’的评价理论与实证研究——以生命与健康领域若干重大问题的研究为例”(71804176);中国科学院战略研究与决策支持系统建设专项项目“融合领域的理论、实践和案例”(GHJ-ZLZX-2018-32-2)

摘　　要：回报模型是当前国际上最主流的科技计划经济社会影响评价模型之一,为评价科技计划产生的经济社会影响提供了一套包含七个阶段、五类影响的评价框架和基本方法。为了推动中国对科技计划的经济社会影响评价从理念阶段迈入理论和实证阶段,本研究以国际上回报模型在生物医学领域的若干典型实践为案例,阐述该模型的基本原理、典型方法和发展动态,提出回报模型对中国发展和完善科技计划经济社会影响评价的建议。As one of the most frequently used models in assessing societal impact of science and technology projects,payback model provides a theoretical framework with 7 stages of delivering impact and 5 categories of outcome.Nowadays,societal impact evaluation in China is still on the level of philosophy.In order to promote Chinese theoretical and empirical development of societal impact evaluation for science and technology projects,basic theory and methods as well as dynamic trend of payback model were studies in this article.Finally,major inspirations of payback model to evaluate societal impact for Chinese science and technology projects more appropriately were concluded,based on the context of science and technology development in China.

关 键 词：科技计划 回报模型 原理 动态 

分 类 号：C931[经济管理—管理学]