限硫令下超大集装箱船应对措施的经济性分析  

Economic Analysis of Countermeasures for Super Large Container Ships under Sulfur Emission Control

作　　者：陈红彬[1,2] 刘伟 匡增杰 CHEN Hongbin;LIU Wei;KUANG Zengjie(Navigation College,Jimei University,Xiamen 361021,China;School of Transport & Communications,Shanghai Maritime University,Shanghai 201306,China;Department of Customs Economy,Shanghai Customs College,Shanghai 201306,China)

机构地区：[1]集美大学航海学院,厦门361021 [2]上海海事大学交通运输学院,上海201306 [3]上海海关学院海关经济系,上海201306

出　　处：《集美大学学报（自然科学版）》2019年第3期186-191,共6页Journal of Jimei University：Natural Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71272219);福建省中青年教师教育科研项目(JAT180257)

摘　　要：为了分析限硫政策下,超大型船经营时不同应对措施的经济成本效益,研究不同措施下班轮企业的额外支出成本,以亚欧航线上20 000 TEU型船为例,以费用年值分析法和投资回收期分析法为主要分析方法,计算超大型集装箱船主要应对措施的经济效益。计算结果发现:1)在当前经济环境下,超大型集装箱船采取“加装脱硫设备”的措施较经济;2)通过对油价和LNG价格联动变化的敏感性分析得出,能源价格持续上升时,班轮企业采用LNG动力船舶将更为经济。该研究可为未来限硫规则下班轮企业的经营决策提供参考。In order to analyze the economic cost-effectiveness of different countermeasures in the operation of super-large vessels under the sulfur-restriction policy,the additional costs of liner operators under different measures are studied.Taking the 20 000 TEU vessels on the Asia-Europe route as an example,the annual cost analysis method and payback period method are used as primary methods to calculate the economic benefits of the main countermeasures for ultra-large container ships.The results show that,1)In the current economic environment,it is a main economical measure to install scrubbers” for ultra-large container ships;2)Through sensitivity analysis of oil prices and LNG prices,with these prices rising liner companies using LNG-powered vessels will be more economical.This research can provide reference for liner companies to make operating decisions under the new sulfur emission controlling rules.

关 键 词：集装箱船 技术经济学 限硫 应对措施 经济性分析 

分 类 号：U692.6[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]